Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ted Cruz
Open$16Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES7¢
NO93¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOCGTN Europe99%match87¢+7%
TRUMP: I'M THINKING OF PUTTING TED CRUZ INTO THE SUPREME COURT
NOCGTN America99%match87¢+7%
TRUMP: I'M THINKING OF PUTTING TED CRUZ INTO THE SUPREME COURT
YESLeading Report99%match27¢-74%
BREAKING: Sen. Ted Cruz is weighing another run for the presidency in 2028, per WaPo.
Where does the news lean?
1YES3NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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