Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Gavin Newsom
Open$78Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES13¢
NO88¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Gavin Newsom drops biggest hint yet he’s going to run for president
YESPolymarket99%match14¢-7%
BREAKING: Gavin Newsom & Marco Rubio surge in 2028 Presidential Election odds, as VP Vance & AOC fall.
YESThe Hill99%match20¢-35%
Seven moments that stand out from Gavin Newsom’s new memoir
YESOverton98%match20¢-35%
CNN’s Dana Bash continues to surprise everyone. She just forced Gavin Newsom to admit a hard truth about his privileged upbringing — something he was clearly hoping to gloss over as he tried to whitewash his past for 2028. You can see the pain on his face the moment he realized…
YESPOLITICO98%match22¢-41%
Pelosi backs Newsom for 2028, Graham and Kelly on global policy, and a surprise Newsom cameo A quick dispatch from the POLITICO Pub at the @MunSecConf Watch our exclusive interviews in the #POLITICOPub at #MSC2026 here
Where does the news lean?
13YES2NO15neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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See all outcomes for Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.