Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Wes Moore
Open$7Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Sharpton nudges Moore with a question about what'll happen in 2028; some chants of "run Wes run." • • Moore: "I got 278 days left in my first term as governor. By the way, I'm going back to the people in Maryland, because I'm going to run this thing back." • • He pauses for a moment; applause. • • "Anyone and any of these people who are thinking about 2028; I need to see that you're taking 2026 seriously." • • A pretty popular diversion for non-candidates. But not the "I'm not running" we've heard elsewhere from Moore.
Where does the news lean?
2YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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