Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

OpenOutcomes74as of

Market pricing makes SpaceX the favorite at 51% across 74 tracked outcomes, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

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What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Anthropicfoxnews.com96%match44¢+2%
Live: Anthropic eyeing $2T IPO by November despite $42B net loss in 2025: report
Anthropiccoindesk92%match44¢+2%
Anthropic eyes an IPO that could value it above $2 trillion, bitcoin is on track to break a 12-year September pattern, and Blockchain․com reportedly aims to go public by the end of the year. • • @Jennsanasie has what you need to know. • • Thank you to @Grayscale for being a sponsor of the CoinDesk Media Network.
Anthropicnypost.com92%match49¢-8%
Anthropic’s IPO prospectus shows sweeping AI vision and surging costs
Anthropicwiwo.de94%match44¢+2%
Anthropic: AI company plans trillion-dollar IPO despite billions in losses
Anthropicwiwo.de94%match44¢+2%
Anthropic: AI company plans trillion-dollar IPO despite heavy losses
SpaceXthestreet.com96%match46¢+11%
Vivian Tu's IPO warning lands as SpaceX buyers split by $1,851. • The largest IPO ever priced at $135. When you bought decided whether you're up or down.
Anthropicfortune.com93%match45¢+22%
OpenAI punted. Anthropic stalled. The hottest imminent IPO fits on your finger
OpenAIfortune.com95%match99¢+1%
OpenAI punted. Anthropic stalled. The hottest imminent IPO fits on your finger
OpenAIalarabiya_bn91%match99¢+1%
How can OpenAI secure its massive funding needs at a reasonable cost in the coming period? Is the company's IPO postponement related to the risks of artificial intelligence, or are there financial problems? A conversation between Lara Habib and Palmyra CEO Jamal Al-Mahamid #AlArabiya_Business #ClosingBell @Lara_bn For more analysis and economic news, follow "Al Arabiya Business" live on YouTube
OpenAIalarabiya96%match99¢+1%
Amid the race for supremacy and safety concerns, OpenAI postpones its IPO this year and prioritizes oversight; Anthropic warns of accelerating capacity growth; and Trump pushes for expansion to prevent Beijing from benefiting.
Revolut May List Shares in the US and in London, Sees Paris as European Hub – Report. • Nik Storonsky, CEO and co-founder of digital bank Revolut, was in France this week after receiving approval for a French banking license. Speaking with Les Echos, the country’s leading financial publication, Storonsky said Revolut may dual-list its shares on Nasdaq and the London Stock Exchange... Read More
Revolutpressassociation92%match0¢
Revolut looking at dual stock market listing in London and New York
Revolut eyes stock market listings in London and New York
Revolutft.com93%match0¢
[UPDATE] Revolut planning dual listing in New York and London (first reported at 2026-09-17T11:34:21Z)
OpenAIfoxbusiness97%match99¢+1%
OpenAI is pumping the brakes on its IPO as concerns about AI safety ramp up. • • CEO Sam Altman says they're "not rushing" to take the company public and that OpenAI won't launch its IPO in 2026, calling now "an ill-advised moment" as it focuses on AI safety and alignment. • • The comments come as concerns over advanced AI continue to grow, including a warning from former Anthropic and OpenAI researcher Jacob Coxon, who claimed the race toward superintelligence could put society at risk. • • Tech leaders have also increasingly aligned around slowing AI development, while President Trump has, for now, dismissed calls for a slowdown. • • @FoxNewsAI
OpenAIfoxbusiness97%match99¢+1%
OpenAI is pumping the brakes on its IPO as concerns about AI safety ramp up. • • CEO Sam Altman says they're "not rushing" to take the company public and that OpenAI won't launch its IPO in 2026, calling now "an ill-advised moment" as it focuses on AI safety and alignment. • • The comments come as concerns over advanced AI continue to grow, including a warning from former Anthropic and OpenAI researcher Jacob Coxon, who claimed the race toward superintelligence could put society at risk. • • Tech leaders have also increasingly aligned around slowing AI development, while President Trump has, for now, dismissed calls for a slowdown.
OpenAIibtimes.com97%match99¢+1%
Investors Will Have To Wait For OpenAI's Blockbuster IPO. Sam Altman Says AI Safety Comes First.. • The ChatGPT maker raised $122 billion this year at an $852 billion valuation, but Altman says 2026 is the wrong time to enter public markets.
Anthropicvedomosti.ru95%match47¢-4%
Anthropic chooses Nasdaq for potentially record-breaking IPO
AnthropicWalter Bloomberg98%match46¢-2%
ANTHROPIC PICKS NASDAQ FOR POTENTIAL $2 TRILLION IPO • • Anthropic has selected Nasdaq for its potential IPO, according to a person familiar with the company’s plans, as it targets an October listing. • • Some estimates have valued Anthropic at as much as $2 trillion, though the figure has not been finalized. The potential blockbuster listing would give Nasdaq another major win after securing SpaceX’s $1.75 trillion listing earlier this year.
OpenAIvedomosti.ru96%match99¢+1%
OpenAI: No IPO in 2026, company to focus on security
OpenAIdbws.io94%match98¢+2%
MEDIA-OpenAI will not IPO in 2026, AI safety concerns make it “ill-advised moment,” CEO says- Fortune
Anthropicmoney.udn.com97%match57¢-21%
Anthropic aims to list before the midterm elections; Wall Street vies for a slice of the $2 trillion IPO pie.
SpaceXthestreet.com92%match42¢+21%
SpaceX is now in your 401(k), and Musk is the risk. • SpaceX's Nasdaq-100 add pushed millions of 401(k) holders into a stock that told the SEC it may not survive without Musk. See the valuation gap.
Payward Puts Kraken IPO on Hold as Sources Point to Mid-2027 Debut. • Payward Inc., the parent of crypto exchange Kraken, has not confirmed a new public-listing date, and the company has not issued a statement postponing its IPO. The latest reporting, based on people familiar with internal planning rather than an official announcement, says the firm is... Read More
Krakenwublockchain97%match100¢
CoinDesk: Kraken Parent Payward Delays IPO to Q2 2027 at the Earliest • • Kraken parent Payward has delayed its IPO to the second quarter of 2027 at the earliest, citing two people familiar with the matter. Payward confidentially filed a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC in November 2025, but later put its IPO plans on hold as difficult market conditions weighed on crypto prices, trading volumes and valuations. Shortly before the filing, the company raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation, including $200 million from Citadel Securities. Payward reported second-quarter adjusted revenue of $508 million, up 17% year over year, while funded accounts rose 42% to 6.6 million and assets on the platform stood at $40 billion.
Krakencoindesk93%match100¢
SCOOP: Payward, the parent company of U.S. crypto exchange Kraken, has delayed its widely anticipated initial public offering until the second quarter of 2027 at the earliest, according to a source. • • @willcanny99 reports
Krakencoindesk.com95%match100¢
Kraken parent Payward delays IPO to second quarter of 2027 at earliest
OpenAIaxios96%match1¢-100%
OpenAI, Anthropic aim to balance safety, progress as IPOs near
SHEINft.com96%match100¢
Shein searches for growth after cut-price IPO
SHEINzerohedge93%match100¢
Shein IPO Flops As Fast-Fashion Empire Sees Growth Slowdown

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.