Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Open74as of
Market pricing makes Anthropic the favorite at 60% across 74 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
All further outcomes (44 more):
Placeholder G · Placeholder I · Databricks · Placeholder C · Placeholder F · xAI · Placeholder H · Placeholder J · Placeholder P · Placeholder R · Placeholder Z · Placeholder AB · Placeholder AD · Placeholder AF · Placeholder AH · Placeholder AJ · Placeholder AK · Placeholder AP · Placeholder AS · Placeholder AY · Placeholder BD · Placeholder BH · Placeholder L · Placeholder M · Placeholder T · Placeholder U · Placeholder W · Placeholder Y · Placeholder AI · Placeholder AL · Placeholder AR · Placeholder AU · Placeholder AZ · Placeholder BB · Placeholder BE · Placeholder BF · Placeholder N · Placeholder V · Placeholder X · Placeholder AC · Placeholder AM · Placeholder AO · Placeholder AX · Placeholder BA
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Competition from Temu, a tax on small parcels in Europe... The low-cost fashion giant Shein is preparing to launch on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a valuation that has plummeted by more than 70% over the years.
Anthropic Overtakes SpaceX In Betting Odds For 2026’s Biggest IPO. • Anthropic is expected to make an initial public offering as soon as October, with reports indicating its valuation could range between $1 trillion and $2 trillion.
Looks like Anthropic is going to go public at a valuation over $1.75 Trillion • • There is now a 63% chance that Anthropic is the largest IPO by market cap in 2026
Anthropic's IPO is imminent; it plans to claim a potential market of $30 trillion, surpassing SpaceX.
Anthropic enters final stages of historic $2 trillion IPO, leveraging its AI development capabilities that produced Mythos.
Wall Street Journal: Anthropic is expected to announce to investors its projection of potential future revenues exceeding $30 trillion. The company sees potential revenue opportunities exceeding $30 trillion, surpassing SpaceX's estimate of $28.5 trillion. Tech startups and other fast-growing companies often estimate their "total targetable market" when going public, to demonstrate to investors that they have significant growth potential. These figures indicate the amount of annual revenue a company could theoretically generate if it captured 100% of the market, based on inputs ranging from industry data to bankers' models. To determine its targetable market size, Anthropic looks at the full range of business that can be accomplished using artificial intelligence models. Anthropic doubled its Its revenue more than doubled to reach $11.6 billion in the second quarter. To give an idea of the scale of its vision, which exceeds $30 trillion, 191 technology companies listed on the S&P 1500 generated $2.4 trillion in revenue last year. Anthropic aims to raise up to $100 billion in its IPO, compared to the $86 billion raised by SpaceX. Anthropic is also targeting a valuation of around $2 trillion. #Arabic_Business
What to know about fast-fashion giant Shein, set to debut next week on the Hong Kong stock exchange:
[UPDATE] How Shein’s $100bn dream unravelled (first reported at 2026-08-24T15:00:00Z)
After its plans faltered in New York and London, Hong Kong opens its doors to Shein and will list its shares for trading in early September with a market valuation significantly lower than it was four years ago.
Live: Fast-fashion giant Shein sets cut-price $27bn valuation for Hong Kong IPO
Live: #STOCK EXCHANGE The online fashion retailer Shein announces that it will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange starting September 1st...
Fast-fashion giant Shein aims for $27bn valuation in Hong Kong market debut
Shein launches IPO at valuation of up to $27bn, far below past figure
Fast fashion: Shein will go public in Hong Kong on September 1st
Shein to Raise Up to 2.5 Trillion Won Through Hong Kong IPO… Listing on the 1st of Next Month
IPO: Chinese discount fashion retailer Shein launches billion-dollar IPO in Hong Kong
Shein - to Announce Final Offer Price by No Later Than 11 P.M. on 31 August 2026
Shein - Maximum Offer Price of HK$49.50 Per Offer Share
Anthropic Pursues Largest IPO in History with $2 Trillion Valuation
anthropic aiming for the biggest ipo in history, could seek to raise as much as $100 billion valuing the company at as much as $2 TRILLION • • @srimuppidi got da scoop • •
Anthropic Could Aim to Raise $100 Billion in Blockbuster IPO - NYT
Anthropic Could Aim to Raise $100 Billion in Blockbuster I.P.O.
Antropics Aims for $2 Trillion IPO… Surpassing SpaceX to Surpass All-Time Largest
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.