Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?OpenAI

OpenVol$529KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES2¢
NO98¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOchosun.com95%match100¢-2%
OpenAI plans IPO next year… Allows Antropic to overtake it in revenue for the first time
NObiz.chosun.com95%match100¢-2%
OpenAI plans IPO next year… Allows Antropic to overtake it in revenue for the first time
YESNews94%match0¢
*OPENAI’S REVENUE RUN RATE TOPS $40 BILLION AHEAD OF IPO
NOstockmktnewz99%match97¢+1%
Polymarket currently thinks there is a • • - 66% chance that Anthropic goes public in 2026 • • - 32% chance that OpenAI goes public in 2026
NOforbes.com99%match97¢+1%
Handicapping The AI IPO Race. • Anthropic leads OpenAI in business growth with a $44B ARR and 70% margins. Despite OpenAI’s $852B value, high costs and IPO delays loom as investors await audited S-1s.
YESfaststocknewss99%match4¢-50%
OpenAI on track to IPO as early as Q4 2026, per CNBC. CEO and CFO reportedly "confident" about going public after their $122B fundraise.
YESstockmktnewz99%match4¢-50%
OPENAI IS ON TRACK TO IPO AS EARLY AS Q4 - CNBC
YESmarketnews_feed99%match4¢-50%
OPENAI IS ON TRACK TO IPO AS EARLY AS Q4 - CNBC ...
YESmarketnews_feed99%match4¢-50%
OPENAI IS ON TRACK TO IPO AS EARLY AS Q4 - CNBC ...
YESfirstsquawk99%match4¢-50%
OPENAI IS ON TRACK TO IPO AS EARLY AS Q4 - CNBC
YESWalter Bloomberg99%match4¢-50%
OPENAI IS ON TRACK TO IPO AS EARLY AS Q4 - CNBC
YESReuters99%match4¢-50%
OpenAI is on Track to IPO as Early as Q4 - CNBC
YESibtimes.com98%match5¢-60%
OpenAI Is Now Worth More Than Ford, GM and Boeing Combined — And a $1 Trillion IPO Could Be Next. • OpenAI has surpassed $25 billion in annualized revenue and is preparing for a $1 trillion IPO — the largest public offering in history. Here is what the numbers really mean for investors, users, and the future of AI.
YEShandelsblatt.com99%match6¢-67%
OpenAI aligns its strategy with a potential IPO in 2026
YESm.yicai.com99%match6¢-67%
OpenAI is preparing for an IPO as early as this year and is currently assembling a finance team.
YEShandelsblatt.com98%match6¢-67%
OpenAI is preparing for an IPO – report indicates focus on business customers
YESPolymarket98%match6¢-67%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter 58% chance the OpenAI IPO closes above $1 trillion. >
YESStocktwits99%match5¢-60%
2026 could be crazy for IPOs OpenAI - $830B SpaceX - $1.25T Anthropic - $380B Databricks - $134B
NOLeading Report99%match95¢+3%
BREAKING: OpenAI could lose about $14 billion in 2026, according to projections.
NOCNBC98%match95¢+3%
Sam Altman touts ChatGPT's reaccelerating growth to employees as OpenAI closes in on $100 billion funding

Where does the news lean?

25YES15NO13neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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