Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Anthropic
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The market prices a 45% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES45¢
NO55¢
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What moved the odds?
22 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: Anthropic eyeing $2T IPO by November despite $42B net loss in 2025: report
Anthropic’s IPO prospectus shows sweeping AI vision and surging costs
Anthropic: AI company plans trillion-dollar IPO despite heavy losses
Anthropic chooses Nasdaq for potentially record-breaking IPO
ANTHROPIC PICKS NASDAQ FOR POTENTIAL $2 TRILLION IPO • • Anthropic has selected Nasdaq for its potential IPO, according to a person familiar with the company’s plans, as it targets an October listing. • • Some estimates have valued Anthropic at as much as $2 trillion, though the figure has not been finalized. The potential blockbuster listing would give Nasdaq another major win after securing SpaceX’s $1.75 trillion listing earlier this year.
Anthropic's IPO is imminent; it plans to claim a potential market of $30 trillion, surpassing SpaceX.
Wall Street Journal: Anthropic is expected to announce to investors its projection of potential future revenues exceeding $30 trillion. The company sees potential revenue opportunities exceeding $30 trillion, surpassing SpaceX's estimate of $28.5 trillion. Tech startups and other fast-growing companies often estimate their "total targetable market" when going public, to demonstrate to investors that they have significant growth potential. These figures indicate the amount of annual revenue a company could theoretically generate if it captured 100% of the market, based on inputs ranging from industry data to bankers' models. To determine its targetable market size, Anthropic looks at the full range of business that can be accomplished using artificial intelligence models. Anthropic doubled its Its revenue more than doubled to reach $11.6 billion in the second quarter. To give an idea of the scale of its vision, which exceeds $30 trillion, 191 technology companies listed on the S&P 1500 generated $2.4 trillion in revenue last year. Anthropic aims to raise up to $100 billion in its IPO, compared to the $86 billion raised by SpaceX. Anthropic is also targeting a valuation of around $2 trillion. #Arabic_Business
Anthropic Pursues Largest IPO in History with $2 Trillion Valuation
anthropic aiming for the biggest ipo in history, could seek to raise as much as $100 billion valuing the company at as much as $2 TRILLION • • @srimuppidi got da scoop • •
YESReuters96%match45¢
Anthropic Could Aim to Raise $100 Billion in Blockbuster IPO - NYT
Anthropic aims for the world's largest IPO, with filing as early as August. A new system is also being launched, and there's a major policy shift regarding corporate data.
ANTHROPIC IPO ODDS BY OCTOBER 31 RISE TO 82% ON POLYMARKET • • The contract is up 40 points, and traded in the 40s earlier this month. • • Anthropic is preparing to file publicly for its IPO as soon as the end of August and expects to match or beat the size of SpaceX's record-setting listing, per Bloomberg. Anthropic is privately held. • • SpaceX $SPCX priced at $135 on June 11 and began trading on Nasdaq June 12.
Reports Anthropic Said To Prepare IPO Filing As Soon As End-August • - Expects To Match SpaceX's Record IPO Size Or Top It • - Recent Investor Briefings Led By CFO Rao
Anthropic's annual revenue could exceed $65 billion even before its IPO, which is seven times more than the amount the chatbot developer Claude received by the end of 2025. The projected figure does not include plans to go public, Bloomberg writes, citing sources. According to documents obtained by Bloomberg, Anthropic's revenue for the second quarter, according to preliminary estimates, amounted to more than $11.5 billion. Last year, the amount did not exceed $787 million. The agency writes that Anthropic has already filed documents for an initial public offering. It is expected to debut this fall. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Anthropic pitches banks on US$200bn 2028 revenue ahead of IPO
Anthropic is on track to achieve annual revenue exceeding $65 billion based on its current performance, more than seven times its growth rate at the end of last year, according to Bloomberg. The company's annualized revenue, a metric based on a shorter period to estimate revenue over a full year, reached $65 billion by the end of July. This significant revenue acceleration strengthens Anthropic's plans for an initial public offering (IPO) expected as early as this fall. #Arabic_Business
Anthropic Eyes $2 Trillion Valuation in October IPO: Is the AI Investment Boom Entering Bubble Territory?. • Introduction Anthropic’s projected October 2026 IPO could value the Claude AI maker at $2 trillion or more, potentially the larg
Anthropic to Launch October IPO with $2 Trillion Valuation… Aiming to Surpass SpaceX for All-Time Largest
Anthropic's IPO valuation rivals SpaceX's; listing expected in October, with a potential valuation exceeding $2 trillion.
Anthropic investors bet on $2tn valuation in record IPO
Anthropic Tries to Shore Up Investor Confidence Ahead of Blockbuster IPO -- WSJ
BREAKING: Anthropic's pre-IPO valuation has officially hit a record $1 trillion. • • Anthropic's implied valuation is now up +733% since October 2025, per onchain pre-IPO trading data. • • Pre-IPO instruments trading onchain, backed 1:1 by SPV exposure on Jupiter, are providing a real-time proxy for the company’s implied IPO valuation. • • Anthropic has now become the third company to exceed $1 trillion in implied valuation, joining OpenAI and SpaceX. • • The implied market cap of these 3 companies alone is now up to $3.7 TRILLION. • • We are about to witness a historic IPO run.
Where does the news lean?
88YES9NO44neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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