Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

OpenOutcomes128as of

Market pricing makes Jon Ossoff the favorite at 16% across 128 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Jon Ossoff16%
Pete Buttigieg5%
Andy Beshear2%
James Talarico2%
Gretchen Whitmer1%
Raphael Warnock1%
Stephen A. Smith0%
Oprah Winfrey0%
Abigail Spanberger0%
Adam Schiff0%
Josh Stein0%
Gina Raimondo0%
Alex Padilla0%
Barack Obama0%
George Clooney0%
Person AB
Person BE
Person BJ
Person CB
Person CM
Other
Person AP
Person BZ
Person CE
Person AQ
Person BV
Person CF
Person AL
Person BH
Person BO

All further outcomes (98 more):

Cory Booker · Jon Stewart · Person Z · Person AK · Person BP · Tim Walz · Bernie Sanders · Person AX · Person BR · Mark Kelly · Liz Cheney · Beto O’Rourke · Person AD · Person AO · Person CD · Person CO · Michelle Obama · Zohran Mamdani · Andrew Yang · Person AC · Person CN · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Rahm Emanuel · John Fetterman · Kim Kardashian · Ruben Gallego · Person AE · Person BX · Person CP · Jared Polis · Person AJ · Mark Cuban · Phil Murphy · Person BL · Person BM · Wes Moore · J.B. Pritzker · LeBron James · Hunter Biden · Person W · Person AS · Person BF · Person BN · Person CH · Person CI · Chelsea Clinton · Person AV · Person CK · Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson · Person AA · Person CL · MrBeast · Chris Murphy · Person AF · Person AW · Person BC · Person CQ · Ro Khanna · Person AI · Person BY · Josh Shapiro · Roy Cooper · Jasmine Crockett · Graham Platner · Person BD · Person BG · Person BW · Person CA · Person V · Person AR · Person CG · Kamala Harris · Hillary Clinton · Elissa Slotkin · Person X · Person AT · Person CC · Person Y · Person AU · Person CJ · Person AG · Person CR · Person AH · Person BA · Person BU · Person CS · Gavin Newsom · Person AM · Person AZ · Person BI · Person BT · Person AN · Person AY · Person BS · Hakeem Jeffries · Person BB · Person BK · Person BQ

What moved the odds?

11 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Jon Ossoffdbws.io92%match14¢+14%
Jon Ossoff Has Jabbed at Trump for Months. Many See a 2028 Audition. -- WSJ
Jon OssoffAJC Reporter94%match14¢+14%
A new Emerson College Polling survey found 13% of likely Democratic voters would pick Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff for president. #gapol
Raphael WarnockAJC Reporter99%match1¢
The 2028 speculation has centered on Jon Ossoff. But the Georgia Democrat taking unmistakable steps to build a national profile -- and tick off the boxes that often precede a White House run -- is Raphael Warnock. 1/ #gapol
Barack Obamanewsmax99%match99¢+1%
Conservative commentator Bill O'Reilly told Newsmax that former President Barack Obama is positioning himself to play a central role in shaping the Democratic Party's 2028 presidential nominee.
Andy Besheartime.com99%match2¢
'Never Throw Anyone Under the Bus': Andy Beshear's LGBTQ Bet For 2028
James TalaricoPolitico Reporter99%match2¢
Trump calls James Talarico “the Worst Candidate I’ve ever seen.”
James TalaricoPolymarket98%match1¢+100%
[Replying to @LeadingReport] @LeadingReport 78% chance James Talarico wins the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. >
Andy BeshearThe Hill99%match3¢-33%
Gov. Andy Beshear on 2028: "I will not leave a broken country"
Pete ButtigiegAxios98%match96¢-1%
Buttigieg's baggage from DOT looms as 2028 issue
Jon OssoffAcyn98%match3¢+433%
Ossoff campaigning against the “Epstein class” and Trump’s betrayals in Georgia:
Andy BeshearPOLITICO99%match3¢-33%
COLUMN: Andy Beshear argues Democrats don’t need to respond to Trump like Trump. He’s already making a case for his 2028 nomination, our @jmart writes.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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