Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Open$15.1Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 20% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES20¢
NO80¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
"I hope so," US Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez responds to J.D. Vance's prediction that she will run for president.
Kamala Harris overtakes Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 Democratic primary race.
Ocasio-Cortez and Rubio top 2028 presidential candidate polls A new poll of American voters' preferred candidates for the 2028 presidential election has Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-New York) and current Secretary of State Marco Rubio at the top. Hill wrote: The Atlas National Poll asked Democratic and Republican voters who they would support among potential contenders in the 2028 primary election. 26% of Democratic voters said they would support Ocasio-Cortez's presidential candidacy. In an interview with Democratic strategist David Axelrod on Friday, Ocasio-Cortez did not rule out a presidential bid, but she disputed the assumption that her political ambitions are based solely on position. @YjcNewsChannel
YESBloomberg99%match9¢+122%
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is better known for her strong progressive stances than her foreign policy views. An appearance at this weekend’s Munich Security Conference fueled more speculation of a presidential run in 2028.
NOThe Spectator Index98%match91¢-12%
UNITED STATES: Gavin Newsom chances of becoming Democratic presidential nominee continue to decline steadily, now at 30%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 9%, according to @Kalshi prediction market.
NOAxios98%match89¢-10%
New: Kamala Harris is stepping toward a 2028 run.
New anti-status quo rhetoric
Expanded book tour including in South Carolina
Made the rounds at DNC and UFW in LA this week
Some party leaders don’t want her but she’s still at or near the top of 2028 polls
NOThe Spectator Index99%match89¢-10%
UNITED STATES: Gavin Newsom leads chances of becoming Democratic presidential nominee at 37%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 10%, according to @Kalshi prediction market.
Where does the news lean?
20YES5NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.