Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Gavin Newsom
Open$28.0Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 15% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES15¢
NO85¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
California Governor Makes His Stance on 2028: He Won't Run Against Harris if She Decides to Run for President ======== California Governor Gavin Newsom confirmed that he will not run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris decides to run. Newsom's stance came during an interview with CNN, where he considered competing with Harris for the Democratic nomination a waste of time. Newsom had previously hinted at the possibility of running for president, but said he was not ready for the 2024 election and was evaluating his position regarding 2028. Kamala Harris said she is considering running in the 2028 election, but has not yet officially confirmed her entry into the race. Newsom's statements reshape the landscape of the Democratic Party's competition for the 2028 nomination.
Gavin Newsom says he won’t run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris does
Gavin Newsom drops biggest hint yet he’s going to run for president
NOThe Spectator Index99%match72¢+18%
UNITED STATES: Gavin Newsom chances of becoming Democratic presidential nominee continue to decline steadily, now at 30%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 9%, according to @Kalshi prediction market.
YESBreaking91199%match32¢-53%
BREAKING: Kamala Harris is on the rise to be the 2028 Democratic Nominee, but Gavin Newsom still leads. [Quoting @Polymarket]
> BREAKING: Kamala Harris is on the rise to be the 2028 Democratic Nominee, but Gavin Newsom still leads.
YESPolymarket99%match32¢-53%
[Replying to @Polymarket] See the full list of candidates & live odds: > BREAKING: Kamala Harris is on the rise to be the 2028 Democratic Nominee, but Gavin Newsom still leads.
YESPolymarket99%match32¢-53%
BREAKING: Kamala Harris is on the rise to be the 2028 Democratic Nominee, but Gavin Newsom still leads.
YESPOLITICO98%match32¢-53%
Gavin Newsom’s red-state reading tour
YESBloomberg98%match34¢-56%
Polls show Democrats are more disillusioned than they’ve been in decades—fed up with aging, feckless leaders, frustrated by a party adrift and yearning for someone to take on Trump. Newsom has leaped into the breach.
YESBreaking91199%match36¢-58%
Cheating adulterer California Governor Gavin Newsome is now the 2028 Democratic frontrunner. [Quoting @Polymarket]
> BREAKING: Gavin Newsom emerges as the clear Democratic frontrunner for 2028. Is America ready for President Newsom?
YESThe Spectator Index99%match36¢-58%
UNITED STATES: Gavin Newsom leads chances of becoming Democratic presidential nominee at 37%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 10%, according to @Kalshi prediction market.
YESLeading Report99%match36¢-58%
BREAKING: Gov. Gavin Newsom emerges as the clear Democratic frontrunner for 2028, per Polymarket.
YESThe Spectator Index98%match37¢-59%
UNITED STATES: JD Vance leads chances of winning next Presidential Election with 30%, followed by Gavin Newsom on 21% and AOC on 6%, according to prediction market @Kalshi.
Where does the news lean?
17YES18NO23neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.