Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Mark Kelly
Open$17.5Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
US appeals court appears skeptical of Pentagon bid to punish Mark Kelly
Sen. Mark Kelly defiant after attending oral arguments in case challenging military actions against him
NOPolymarket99%match98¢-1%
[Replying to @LeadingReport] @LeadingReport Polymarket General Election: Vance -24% Newsom - 17% Rubio - 8% Harris - 3% > BREAKING: 2028 primary polls, per Tipp. Democrat:
Harris: 38%
Newsom: 13%
Buttigieg: 5%
Shapiro: 4% Republican:
Vance: 43%
Trump Jr: 18%
DeSantis: 5%
Rubio: 5%
YESThe Wall Street Journal98%match2¢+50%
A grand jury declined to indict multiple Democratic lawmakers, including Sen. Mark Kelly, who in a video told military servicemembers they could refuse to obey illegal orders, sources said
YESPOLITICO99%match3¢
EXCLUSIVE: Mark Kelly is emerging as a major Democratic fundraiser, giving and raising nearly $5 million ahead of the 2026 midterms.
NOAxios98%match97¢
Trump admin says it's "escalating" review of Mark Kelly to an "official" investigation
Where does the news lean?
12YES3NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.