Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Kamala Harris
Open$13.1Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 8% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES8¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Kamala Harris reaches out to Mamdani, anti-Israel progressives as polls show her leading 2028 Dem primary
Scoop w/ @hollyotterbein • Kamala Harris called Mamdani last Thursday to talk about the future of the party and set up a longer meeting (they’d also been texting for months) • • She also has been meeting w/ pro-Palestine activists to hear them out • •
Kamala Harris Talks With Mamdani on Phone, Meets With Progressive and Pro-Palestinian Activists • • 6% chance she wins the 2028 Democratic nomination.
Scoop w/ @hollyotterbein • Kamala Harris called Mamdani last Thursday to talk about the future of the party and set up a longer meeting (they’d also been texting for months) • • She also has been meeting w/ pro-Palestine activists to hear them out • •
Kamala Harris overtakes Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 Democratic primary race.
YESBreaking91199%match7¢+14%
BREAKING: Kamala Harris is on the rise to be the 2028 Democratic Nominee, but Gavin Newsom still leads. [Quoting @Polymarket]
> BREAKING: Kamala Harris is on the rise to be the 2028 Democratic Nominee, but Gavin Newsom still leads.
YESPolymarket99%match7¢+14%
[Replying to @Polymarket] Full list of potential candidates & live odds: > BREAKING: Kamala Harris now the #1 most likely candidate to announce a 2028 Presidential Campaign this year. 29% chance.
YESPolymarket99%match7¢+14%
[Replying to @Polymarket] See the full list of candidates & live odds: > BREAKING: Kamala Harris is on the rise to be the 2028 Democratic Nominee, but Gavin Newsom still leads.
YESPolymarket99%match7¢+14%
BREAKING: Kamala Harris is on the rise to be the 2028 Democratic Nominee, but Gavin Newsom still leads.
YESLeading Report99%match6¢+33%
BREAKING: New 2028 presidential poll shows Kamala Harris as the Democratic frontrunner, per Rasmussen. Harris: 34%
Newsom: 20%
Shapiro: 10%
Buttigieg: 10%
AOC: 7%
YESPolymarket99%match5¢+60%
RT @Polymarket: BREAKING: Kamala Harris eying 2028 Presidential Campaign. Trump has higher odds getting elected for a 3rd term (5% chance)…
YESunusual_whales99%match5¢+60%
Kamala Harris is reportedly preparing for another White House run, per Axios.
YESAxios99%match5¢+60%
New: Kamala Harris is stepping toward a 2028 run.
New anti-status quo rhetoric
Expanded book tour including in South Carolina
Made the rounds at DNC and UFW in LA this week
Some party leaders don’t want her but she’s still at or near the top of 2028 polls
YESThe New York Times98%match3¢+167%
NEW: I wrote a profile of Kamala Harris at a pivot point. She wants to be heard but it is not clear what she wants to say. • Her 2028 thoughts
• Her texts with Gavin
• The $$ in her new PAC
• The calls she's been making (Zohran etc) Lots more —>
Where does the news lean?
27YES2NO11neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.