Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
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An "unexpected" result in the first round of the presidential election in Brazil: Flávio Bolsonaro overtakes Lula in a deeply polarized country.
An "unexpected" result in the first round of the presidential election in Brazil: Flávio Bolsonaro overtakes Lula in a deeply polarized country
Brazil's incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is losing to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the presidential election, according to data from the country's Supreme Electoral Court (TSE). After results from 98.65% of polling stations have been processed, Bolsonaro has 47.27% of the vote, while Lula has 44.88%. More than 55 million people voted for Bolsonaro, while about 53 million voted for the incumbent president. The gap is just over 2 million votes. The TSE has already noted that a runoff is mathematically determined. It will take place on October 25. To win in the first round, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the valid votes, excluding blank and invalid ballots. In this case, a runoff will not be held.
Brazil's incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is losing to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the presidential election, according to data from the country's Supreme Electoral Court (TSE). After results from 98.65% of polling stations have been processed, Bolsonaro has 47.27% of the vote, while Lula has 44.88%. More than 55 million people voted for Bolsonaro, while about 53 million voted for the incumbent president. The gap is just over 2 million votes. The TSE has already noted that a runoff is mathematically determined. It will take place on October 25. To win in the first round, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the valid votes, excluding blank and invalid ballots. In this case, a runoff will not be held. RBK Channel on "Max"
CNTMEDI Institute: Lula da Silva leads in the first round with 43.1% of voting intentions compared to 38% for Bolsonaro. #Brazil @Rola_Hidar
The president's upward trend is also evident in the simulated scenario, where the candidates' names are presented to respondents. Lula reaches 42%, two points higher than in the previous round, while Flávio Bolsonaro remains stable at 37%. The president's lead thus increases to five percentage points. #Scenario #Lula #Flávio #2026 #fyp #28Sep
The study, conducted from September 25 to 27, places the president with 41% of the total preference in this modality, surpassing Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) by six points.
Brazilian President and Workers' Party (PT) candidate Lula da Silva registered 47.7% of valid votes in the spontaneous scenario, according to the BTG/Nexus poll. #Brazil #Elections #teleSur #28Sep
Lula Seen with 42%, Flavio Bolsonaro 37%, Augusto Cury 5%, Caiado 5%, Renan Santos 4%, in First Round of Brazil’s Presidential Election - Btg/Nexus Poll
São Paulo is ready to move forward. The people know that to guarantee workers' rights, action is needed. And change begins at the ballot box: Fernando Haddad is 13 Marina Silva is 400 Simone Tebet is 180 And for president it's 13 for Lula and Alckmin
The PL candidate, Flávio Bolsonaro, is positioned in second place in the initial contest with 36% of the support according to the poll published this Thursday.
A new Datafolha poll places President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 40% of the vote intentions in the first round of the Brazilian presidential election. #Brazil #Elections2026 #teleSur #25Sep
BREAKING NEWS: Flávio Bolsonaro reaches a record high of 62% probability of winning the Brazilian presidential election on Polymarket
Brazil: President Lula da Silva leads in potential voting intentions with 49% in the new BTG/Nexus poll. #Brazil #Lula #Sep21
Lula received 40% of the vote, Flávio Bolsonaro 37%, Cury 6%, Caiado 5%, and Renan Santos 3% in the first round of Brazil's presidential election.
The far-right Flávio Bolsonaro, of the Liberal Party (PL), would obtain 44% of the votes.
In the first round, the president obtained 40.5% compared to 30.4% for Flávio Bolsonaro (10.1 points advantage).
Brazil: CNT/MDA poll places Lula da Silva in the lead in presidential voting intentions. #Brazil #teleSUR #Sep15
A BTG Pactual/Nexus poll places Lula da Silva leading in voting intentions in Brazil with 42% for the first round. Flávio Bolsonaro is in second place with 37%, followed by Augusto Cury (6%) and Ronaldo Caiado (5%). #teleSUR #Brazil #Elections2026
Brazil’s Flávio Bolsonaro faces corruption investigation weeks before elections
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In the first round, Lula would have 43% and Flávio Bolsonaro 37.4%. The rest of the candidates would be below 7%.
President Lula da Silva leads in voting intentions ahead of Brazil's October elections, according to an Atlas/Intel poll.
Lula was seen with 39%, Flavio Bolsonaro 31%, Augusto Cury 6%, Renan Santos 4%, and Caiado 2%, in the first round of Brazil's presidential election.
Lula Seen with 39%, Flavio Bolsonaro 31%, Augusto Cury 6% Renan Santos 4%, Caiado 2%, in First Round of Brazil’s Presidential Election - Btg/Nexus Poll
Lula (PT - Workers' Party) dropped one point since September 2nd, when he registered 37%. Bolsonaro (PL - Liberal Party) remains at 29%. #Brazil
Lula leads in voting intentions with 36% in the Quaest poll. Flávio Bolsonaro has 29% and Augusto Cury 8%. #teleSUR #Brazil #LatinAmerica
São Paulo has an important choice ahead, and I have no doubt: @Haddad_Fernando, @MarinaSilva and @simonetebetbr are the best team to take care of the people of São Paulo and defend the interests of Brazil. Haddad has already been by my side and helped to make a true revolution in education. Now, he is prepared to govern São Paulo and transform the lives of those who need it most. Marina and Tebet have the experience, courage and commitment to represent São Paulo in the Senate and defend the rights of the people. In São Paulo, it's Haddad, Marina and Tebet. It's work, it's commitment!
Datafolha Poll: Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro are in a statistical tie heading into the runoff. Lula leads with 46% compared to 44% for the far-right candidate, with a margin of error of two points. #Brazil #teleSUR
Brazil's Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) has suspended the presidential campaign of Renan Santos, of the Missão party, and his vice-presidential candidate, Aroldo Medina, for the mass dissemination of content through undeclared profiles. Their campaign materials and participation in debates have been banned. Comment. #teleSUR #Brazil #Elections
What is this event about?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).