Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceFernando Haddad
ResolvedOutcome: No$23Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
São Paulo is ready to move forward. The people know that to guarantee workers' rights, action is needed. And change begins at the ballot box: Fernando Haddad is 13 Marina Silva is 400 Simone Tebet is 180 And for president it's 13 for Lula and Alckmin
São Paulo has an important choice ahead, and I have no doubt: @Haddad_Fernando, @MarinaSilva and @simonetebetbr are the best team to take care of the people of São Paulo and defend the interests of Brazil. Haddad has already been by my side and helped to make a true revolution in education. Now, he is prepared to govern São Paulo and transform the lives of those who need it most. Marina and Tebet have the experience, courage and commitment to represent São Paulo in the Senate and defend the rights of the people. In São Paulo, it's Haddad, Marina and Tebet. It's work, it's commitment!
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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