Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceGeraldo Alckmin
Open$11Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Lula confirms Geraldo Alckmin as his presidential running mate for the October elections Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announced that current Vice President and Minister of Development, Industry, Trade and Services, Geraldo Alckmin, will leave his cabinet post to join him again on the presidential ticket. The elections are scheduled for October 4. During a cabinet meeting in Brasilia, Lula declared that "comrade Alckmin will have to leave the ministry because he will be a candidate for the vice presidency of the Republic again."
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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