Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
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Market pricing makes Flávio Bolsonaro the favorite at 85% across 32 tracked outcomes, as of .
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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Brazil’s TV and radio campaign blitz begins, with Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro set for a nasty fight
Public opinion polls in Brazil show President Lula Silva leading his right-wing rival Bolsonaro.
Lula da Silva leads his right-wing rival by 4 points in Brazilian opinion polls. Details from our correspondent, Daddah Abdallah.
Polls: Lula da Silva leads his right-wing rival Flavio Bolsonaro in the Brazilian presidential race
Lula da Silva leads in the Brazilian presidential race. Details with Al Arabiya TV correspondent:
Lula leads in the polls in Brazil with 39% after the start of the campaign. Datafolha: in the first round, Lula 39% and Flávio Bolsonaro 32%; in the second round, 47% versus 43%, according to the poll. #Brazil #Elections #Lula #teleSUR
Lula leads in voting intentions with 39%, according to the first Datafolha poll since the start of the campaign. Flávio Bolsonaro registers 33% and Caiado 5%; in a runoff election, there is a statistical tie (47% versus 43%). #teleSUR #Brazil #Elections #LatinAmerica #SouthGlobal @teleSURtv
Brazil: Federal Police are investigating fraud in the membership of Flávio Bolsonaro, senator and candidate for the Liberal Party (PL). The Superior Electoral Court (TSE) clarified that it was not a cyberattack, but rather "misuse" of party credentials. This new investigation adds to the ongoing "rachadinhas" scandal and the "Dark Horse" campaign financing investigation. #Brazil #FlávioBolsonaro #TSE #teleSUR #Aug20
Lula leads with 41% to Flávio Bolsonaro's 36% and will win in the second round (47%-44%), according to BTG/Nexus. Lula leads among women, Bolsa Família, and the Northeast; Flávio leads among men and the South. #teleSUR #Brazil #Elections2026 #Aug17
Lula holds tight lead over Senator Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil election, poll shows
Brazil: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro start in the fight
Poll shows Lula leading in Brazil Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads the Quaest poll of 13 presidential candidates with 38 percent of the vote.
El presidente brasileño, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, encabeza la intención de voto con un 39% para la primera vuelta, según una encuesta de Genial/Quaest registrada ante el Tribunal Superior Electoral. • • En segundo lugar se ubica el senador Flávio Bolsonaro con un 30%, mientras que el actual mandatario mantiene la delantera en todos los escenarios de balotaje frente a los demás candidatos. • • Ante este panorama de cara a octubre, la plataforma del Partido de los Trabajadores plantea la continuidad de políticas asistenciales, la ampliación de programas estudiantiles y la protección a adultos mayores para consolidar su base social.
A new poll shows Lula da Silva leading Flavio Bolsonaro in the Brazilian presidential race. @WaelTamimi
Brazilian President Lula da Silva leads with 39% of the vote intention in the first round and wins in all runoff scenarios, according to a Genial/Quaest poll. Flávio Bolsonaro registers 30%. 69% of the electorate says their vote is final. Undecided: 10%. #teleSUR #Brazil #Elections2026 #Brazil #Lula #Elections2026 #LatinAmerica #teleSUR
Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro Names Alfredo Gaspar as Running Mate for October Presidential Election
Lula leads Quaest poll: 39% in the first round vs. 30% for Flávio Bolsonaro. He wins all runoff scenarios. #Brazil #Lula #Elections2026 #teleSUR #Aug5
#Brazil elections: Poll shows Lula leading Bolsonaro
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Lula leads Bolsonaro but gap narrows ahead of Brazil election, poll shows
Lula Seen with 39%, Flavio Bolsonaro 30%, Caiado 4%, Renan Santos 4% in First Round of Brazil’s Presidential Election - Genial/Quaest Poll
Republicans, Progressives, União Brasil, and Podemos deny support for Flávio Bolsonaro. The Brazilian right opts for neutrality and isolates Bolsonarism. Without TV airtime, Bolsonaro's son's campaign is suffocating. #teleSUR #Brazil #Bolsonaro #Aug4
Flavio Bolsonaro closes in on Lula in Nexus/BTG poll for Brazil election
Brazil's Workers' Party officially nominated Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for the October elections, in which he will seek a fourth term in the Planalto Palace alongside Geraldo Alckmin. Lula arrived accompanied by the First Lady and was greeted by a large crowd of supporters. The president leads in the polls with a platform focused on economic growth and reducing inequality. #Brazil #Lula #Bolsonaro #Elections #teleSUR
Brazil’s Pp Party Says It Will Remain Neutral in Presidential Election, Senator Tereza Cristina Accepted Decision - Statement
Flávio Bolsonaro ignores Caiado's criticism and focuses on a possible second round.
Lula leads Flavio Bolsonaro in potential Brazil runoff, poll shows
Lula Seen with 49.2% of Vote vs Flavio Bolsonaro’s 42.9% in Brazil Presidential Election Runoff - Atlasintel/Bloomberg Poll
*LULA LEADS BOLSONARO 49%-43% IN BRAZIL RUNOFF ELECTION SCENARIO
Lula leads in projections for the 2026 Brazilian presidential elections The Polymarket prediction platform gives Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva a 63 percent probability of winning the 2026 elections.
Presidential election in Brazil: Flavio Bolsonaro launches his campaign against President Lula
What is this event about?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).