Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceFernando Haddad
ResolvedOutcome: No$814Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
São Paulo has an important choice ahead, and I have no doubt: @Haddad_Fernando, @MarinaSilva and @simonetebetbr are the best team to take care of the people of São Paulo and defend the interests of Brazil. Haddad has already been by my side and helped to make a true revolution in education. Now, he is prepared to govern São Paulo and transform the lives of those who need it most. Marina and Tebet have the experience, courage and commitment to represent São Paulo in the Senate and defend the rights of the people. In São Paulo, it's Haddad, Marina and Tebet. It's work, it's commitment!
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
How did this market resolve?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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See all outcomes for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.