Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceJair Bolsonaro
ResolvedOutcome: No$205Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Lula and Bolsonaro Jr. advance to the second round of the Brazilian presidential election After 98.64% of the ballots were counted, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro received 47.27% of the vote, while incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva received 44.88%. Neither candidate managed to overcome the 50% threshold required to win. The second round of the presidential election will be held on October 25. Flavio Bolsonaro is the son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro. [in reply to: Flavio Bolsonaro has become a candidate for President of Brazil The Liberal Party has approved the candidacy of Flavio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro. In the upcoming elections, he intends to compete with the current head of state, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Details - here ]
Lula da Silva lost in the first round of the presidential elections in Brazil Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, beat the incumbent leader of the country, Lula da Silva. Bolsonaro won 47.03% of the vote, and da Silva - 45.16%. Now they will go to the second round of the elections on October 25. On October 4, general elections began in Brazil, in which citizens of the country elect vice president, governors, as well as members of the National Congress and local parliaments. The main intrigue of the campaign was the fight for the presidential seat between da Silva and Bolsonaro. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Right-wing candidate leads in Brazil's presidential election More than half of the votes in the first round of Brazil's presidential election have been counted, and initial results show Senator Flavio Bolsonaro leading; although his gap with his rival has narrowed, and at the same time, the Datafolia polling agency predicted that the election will go to a second round. Flavio, the 45-year-old son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, who hopes to bring his father's right-wing movement back to power, is ahead of the country's 80-year-old leftist President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
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"A protest candidacy": Jair Bolsonaro's son, a presidential candidate in Brazil, draws a massive crowd in Sao Paulo
Where does the news lean?
0YES6NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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