Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$2.3Mas of
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Flavio Bolsonaro and Lula da Silva have advanced to the second round of Brazil's presidential elections.
Brazil's electoral body announced that right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro was leading in the first round of the presidential election with 47.45 percent of the vote and will face leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in the second round. With just over 97 percent of the vote counted, Bolsonaro performed better than most private polls had predicted, while leftist Lula won 44.66 percent of the vote. The two front-runners advanced to the second round on October 25, beating out 10 of the 12 other candidates in the race. The election campaign focused on concerns about rising living costs, corruption and insecurity in Brazilians' daily lives.
Brazil's incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is losing to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the presidential election, according to data from the country's Supreme Electoral Court (TSE). After results from 98.65% of polling stations have been processed, Bolsonaro has 47.27% of the vote, while Lula has 44.88%. More than 55 million people voted for Bolsonaro, while about 53 million voted for the incumbent president. The gap is just over 2 million votes. The TSE has already noted that a runoff is mathematically determined. It will take place on October 25. To win in the first round, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the valid votes, excluding blank and invalid ballots. In this case, a runoff will not be held. RBK Channel on "Max"
#Breaking | A second round of Brazilian elections is underway after Bolsonaro received 47.19% and Lula da Silva 44.97% of the vote.
Liberal Party candidate Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and incumbent Brazilian President Lula da Silva have advanced to the second round of the presidential election, the Electoral Commission announced after processing 99% of the votes. Bolsonaro is in first place with 47.2% of the vote, while Lula da Silva is in second place with 44.96%. Since neither candidate received more than 50% of the vote, the winner will be determined in the second round, which will take place on October 25.
#Breaking | A second round of elections is needed in Brazil after Bolsonaro received 47.19% and Lula da Silva 44.97% of the vote.
A second round of Brazilian elections is underway after Bolsonaro received 47.19% of the vote and Lula da Silva received 44.97%.
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro have advanced to the second round of Brazil's presidential election, according to data from Brazil's Supreme Electoral Court (which serves as the Central Electoral Commission). After nearly 99% of the ballots were processed, Mr. Bolsonaro received 47.28%, while Lula da Silva received 44.87%. The second round will be held on October 25. Voting is being organized because neither candidate received more than 50%. Incumbent President Lula da Silva represents the center-left Workers' Party. If he wins, he will remain in office for a fourth term. Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, represents the Liberal Party. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
YESNews97%match100¢
Bolsonaro and Lula Da Silva advance to the second round of the Brazilian presidential election, according to media reports.
Public opinion polls in Brazil show President Lula Silva leading his right-wing rival Bolsonaro.
Lula da Silva leads his right-wing rival by 4 points in Brazilian opinion polls. Details from our correspondent, Daddah Abdallah.
Polls: Lula da Silva leads his right-wing rival Flavio Bolsonaro in the Brazilian presidential race
Lula holds tight lead over Senator Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil election, poll shows
Poll shows Lula leading in Brazil Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads the Quaest poll of 13 presidential candidates with 38 percent of the vote.
El presidente brasileño, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, encabeza la intención de voto con un 39% para la primera vuelta, según una encuesta de Genial/Quaest registrada ante el Tribunal Superior Electoral. • • En segundo lugar se ubica el senador Flávio Bolsonaro con un 30%, mientras que el actual mandatario mantiene la delantera en todos los escenarios de balotaje frente a los demás candidatos. • • Ante este panorama de cara a octubre, la plataforma del Partido de los Trabajadores plantea la continuidad de políticas asistenciales, la ampliación de programas estudiantiles y la protección a adultos mayores para consolidar su base social.
Brazilian President Lula da Silva leads with 39% of the vote intention in the first round and wins in all runoff scenarios, according to a Genial/Quaest poll. Flávio Bolsonaro registers 30%. 69% of the electorate says their vote is final. Undecided: 10%. #teleSUR #Brazil #Elections2026 #Brazil #Lula #Elections2026 #LatinAmerica #teleSUR
#Brazil elections: Poll shows Lula leading Bolsonaro
#SkyOnline %B7%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%B9-%D8%B1%D8%A3%D9%8A-%D9%8A%D8%B8%D9%87%D8%B1-%D8%AA%D9%82%D8%AF%D9%85-%D8%B9%D9%84%D9%89-%D8%A8%D9%88%D9%84%D8%B3%D9%88%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%88
Lula leads Bolsonaro but gap narrows ahead of Brazil election, poll shows
Brazil’s Lula holds lead over Bolsonaro in BTG/Nexus election poll
Lula leads with 48.9% of voting intention for 2026. Brazilian President Lula da Silva has overtaken Flávio Bolsonaro (41.8%), whose approval rating plummeted following revelations of corruption links and a request for 134 million reais to finance a film about Jair Bolsonaro. What impact will this have on Brazilian politics? #Brazil #Lula #Bolsonaro #teleSUR
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the first major poll for this year's presidential election. • • More Here →
Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro are tied in the polls for Brazil's presidential election. According to the latest survey by Genial/Quaest, Lula has 42% support compared to Bolsonaro's 41%, a difference of only one percentage point. The survey, conducted from May 8 to 11, 2026, interviewed more than 2,000 people over the age of 16, with a margin of error of 2%.
Poll reveals high polarization in Brazil's presidential elections. Lula leads the voting intention for the first round with 37%. Flavio Bolsonaro is in second place with 32%, followed by Ronaldo Caiado (6%) and Zema (3%). The Quaest poll (April 9-13) indicates that right-wing and far-right candidates together account for 41%.
Lula confirms Geraldo Alckmin as his presidential running mate for the October elections Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announced that current Vice President and Minister of Development, Industry, Trade and Services, Geraldo Alckmin, will leave his cabinet post to join him again on the presidential ticket. The elections are scheduled for October 4. During a cabinet meeting in Brasilia, Lula declared that "comrade Alckmin will have to leave the ministry because he will be a candidate for the vice presidency of the Republic again."
Where does the news lean?
15YES40NO30neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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