Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?Yashar
Open$35Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 78% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES78¢
NO23¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Eisenkot on the path to forming a cabinet; Is the Netanyahu era over? Eisenkot now has a maximum of 42 days to form a new coalition cabinet by attracting the attention of various parties. After Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition was defeated in the Israeli parliamentary elections and lost its majority, the regime's president, Isaac Herzog, tasked Gadi Eisenkot, former Chief of Staff of the Israeli army and current leader of the "Yashar" party, with forming a new cabinet. The support of Arab parties with 19 Knesset seats has paved the way for Eisenkot to oust Netanyahu; but the deep differences between the opposition parties and the troubles of attracting the attention of allies pose serious challenges to forming a new cabinet. @TasnimNews
[UPDATE] Netanyahu's rival appointed to form cabinet Israeli media announced a few minutes ago that Israeli President Isaac Herzog has appointed Gadi Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party and Netanyahu's electoral rival, to form a cabinet. isna.ir/xdXq5K
@isna94 [in reply to: Israeli President: I will introduce the person in charge of forming the cabinet on Sunday Israeli President Isaac Herzog: The person in charge of forming the cabinet will be officially introduced next Sunday. Al-Taibi, head of the Joint Arab List, told Al Jazeera:
We are choosing between a bad option and a less bad option, and we have introduced Gadi Eisenkot to remove Netanyahu. Eisenkot must be brave and respect the results of the Arab vote. Leave it. isna.ir/xdXpyJ
@isna94] (first reported at 2026-11-07T19:47:43Z)
The Yashar! with Eisenkot party announces the establishment of its negotiating team, * Yoav Horowitz - Chief of Staff and Acting Director General of the former Prime Minister's Office.
* Dr. Yoram Turbowitz - Lawyer, Chief of Staff in the former Prime Minister's Office and Business Manager.
* Yael Wolf Barel - Head of Policy and Content at the Yashar! with Eisenkot party
* Attorney Ronen Aviani - Expert in coalition negotiations and party law. * Ronen Manelis - Campaign Manager of the Yashar! With Eisenkot At the same time, a parliamentary support team was established that will work to implement the work plans, bills and steps required to implement the party's agenda, already in the first days of the new Knesset. * Matan Kahane - former Minister of Religious Services.
* Hili Tropper - former Minister of Culture and Sports.
* Shaul Meridor - former Head of the Budget Division at the Ministry of Finance.
* Tair Ifergan - former Director General of the Ministry of Labor. In the first stage, the team will begin working meetings with the negotiation teams of the Change and Correction parties today.
Israel's Kan TV reported, citing the Democratic Party, that the party has decided to propose Gadi Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar Party, to the Israeli President to form a new government.
The race to oust Netanyahu; Does the Israeli opposition have a different strategy?
Zeinab Farhadi Zarringoli - IRNA reporter While the coalition opposing Benjamin Netanyahu is trying to oust him from power, analysts believe that even a change in the Israeli government's cabinet will not necessarily lead to a fundamental change in the regime's policies towards the Palestinians. The latest poll by the Israeli Channel 12 shows that the Likud party, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, has won 20 seats, trailing the Yashar party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, by 23 seats. #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
Where does the news lean?
12YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.
main.knesset.gov.il
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