Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?Joint List
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Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
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17 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Despite the supposedly new cover, there is nothing new in Netanyahu's proposal tonight. Even before the elections, he spoke of a broad national government, that is, his bloc and another party that would agree to it. There are no buyers for that. [in reply to: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: The public in Israel does not want a government that depends on the Gush and the Joint List - parties that support terror and deny the existence of the Jewish state. From day one, our hand was extended to form a broad national government. A clear majority of the Jewish public chose Likud as the largest party and me, as prime minister, to lead the next government. We aspire to form a broad government with our partners and with any party that wishes to do so and that does not support terror. I am open to having a dialogue on the matter.]
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: The Israeli public does not want a government that depends on the G-22 and the Joint List - parties that support terror and deny the existence of the Jewish state. From day one, our hand was extended to form a broad national government. A clear majority of the Jewish public chose Likud as the largest party and me, as Prime Minister, to lead the next government. We strive to form a broad government with our partners and with any party that wishes to do so and that does not support terror. I am open to having a dialogue on the matter.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: The Israeli public does not want a government that depends on the G-24 and the Joint List - parties that support terror and deny the existence of the Jewish state. From day one, our hand was extended to establish a broad national government.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: The Israeli public does not want a government that depends on the G-22 and the Joint List - parties that support terror and deny the existence of the Jewish state. From day one, our hand was extended to form a broad national government. A clear majority of the Jewish public chose Likud as the largest party and me, as Prime Minister, to lead the next government. We strive to form a broad government with our partners and with any party that wishes to do so and that does not support terror. I am open to having a dialogue on the matter.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: The Israeli public does not want a government that depends on the G-22 and the Joint List - parties that support terror and deny the existence of the Jewish state. From day one, our hand was extended to form a broad national government. A clear majority of the Jewish public chose Likud as the largest party and me, as Prime Minister, to lead the next government. We strive to form a broad government with our partners and with any party that wishes to do so and that does not support terror. I am open to having a dialogue on the matter.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: The Israeli public does not want a government that depends on the G-22 and the Joint List - parties that support terror and deny the existence of the Jewish state. From day one, our hand was extended to form a broad national government. A clear majority of the Jewish public chose Likud as the largest party and me, as Prime Minister, to lead the next government. We strive to form a broad government with our partners and with any party that wishes to do so and that does not support terror. I am open to having a dialogue on the matter.
The Israeli public does not want a government that depends on the G-22 and the Joint List - parties that support terror and deny the existence of the Jewish state. From day one, our hand was extended to form a broad national government. A clear majority of the Jewish public chose Likud as the largest party and me, as Prime Minister, to lead the next government. We strive to form a broad government with our partners and with any party that wishes to do so and that does not support terror. I am open to having a dialogue on the matter.
Amjad Shbeita, Secretary General of the Democratic Front for Peace and Equality: The Joint List has not expressed a desire to participate in the Israeli government until Eisenkot imposes conditions on it... and we are ready to provide a safety net for the new government with the aim of bringing down Netanyahu.
Among the Joint List's demands for outside support for a future government: Striving for a "political horizon" with the Palestinians. The Eisenkot bloc parties do not rule out the conditions | Report by @yaara_shapira #NewsHere with @TaliMoreno_
The chairman of the Joint List admits that they will form a government with Eisenkot. Eisenkot has no government without the Arab parties, Yair Golan, Lieberman and Bennett.
Joint List says it will provide safety net for any anti-Netanyahu coalition — report
Joint List Chairman: We will provide a safety net to any government that replaces Netanyahu
Joint List Chairman: "We will provide a safety net to any government that replaces Netanyahu"
Joint List Chairman Yosef Jabarin: We will provide a safety net to any government that replaces Netanyahu's. We are ready to negotiate on this.
Muhammad Majdallah
Joint List Chairman Yousef Jabarin officially declares for the first time: We will provide a safety net to any government that replaces Netanyahu's, and we are ready to negotiate to that end.
Mohammed Barakeh told Al-Mayadeen: "The United Arab List refused to participate in the Joint List because that would hinder its entry into the next government."
Ahmad Tibi told Al-Mayadeen: Our position in the Joint List is clear, which is not to participate in the next government.
Where does the news lean?
4YES29NO9neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.
main.knesset.gov.il
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