What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?↓ $100
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$29Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Financial Associated Press, September 11 - WTI crude oil futures fell further by 3%, closing at $99.406 per barrel.
Oil prices rise nearly 13% in a week, surpassing $100 for the first time in four months — Reuters Oil prices have risen sharply this week amid escalating Middle East tensions and risks of supply disruptions. Brent and WTI are on track to finish the week above $100 a barrel for the first time since mid-May. As of Friday morning, Brent was trading at $105.62 a barrel, while WTI was at $101.10. Despite the price declines during Friday trading, both benchmarks have gained nearly 13% for the week. Additional risks to supplies are posed by attacks on shipping in the region. The Iran-aligned Houthi group has seized the Yemeni port of Moha, and tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains restricted. Analysts warn that further escalation could cause prolonged disruptions to oil supplies. Meanwhile, Middle Eastern countries are trying to negotiate a temporary agreement with Iran to ensure safe shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Add News.LIVE as a trusted news source on Google
New York crude oil prices have surpassed $100 for the first time since late May, rising more than 50% since early July... Concerns are rising that disruptions are spreading to crude oil transport in the Red Sea.
NY crude oil surpasses $100, highest level since May; US long-term interest rates surge.
Oil is on track to end the week above $100 for the first time since May.
Oil prices jumped more than 6 percent on Thursday, September 9, as the conflict in the region intensified and concerns about energy supply disruptions increased, with Brent crude reaching $107.63 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate crude also crossed the $100 mark. According to OilPrice data, the price of Murban oil rose more than 5 percent to $122.48, and the OPEC oil basket was priced at $112.25, up more than 4 percent. The increase in prices came after attacks on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf and the Sea of Oman and the Houthis' advance on the Red Sea coast. Reuters reported that the capture of the port of Mocha and the Houthis' advance towards the Hanish Islands have increased concerns about the security of the Bab al-Mandab Strait and the route for Saudi Arabia's oil exports. At the same time, ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped sharply, with initial data showing that only seven ships passed through the waterway on September 8. The price of Brent oil on Wednesday crossed the $100 mark for the first time in six weeks. Disruptions to tanker traffic and insecurity in the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab have heightened market concerns about Middle Eastern oil supplies.
Oil prices jumped more than 6% Thursday, with both Brent and U.S. crude topping $100 a barrel, as a surge in attacks on shipping since the Iran war began fueled fears of further supply disruptions. • • Brent settled at $107.63, up 6.34%, while WTI rose 6.69% to $102.48 — both their highest since May 19.
Crude oil prices briefly surpassed the $100 mark, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 316 points at 52,064.
Where does the news lean?
8YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
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