What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?↑ $100
Open$110Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 22% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES22¢
NO78¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOReuters91%match70¢+11%
Brent Crude Futures Drop Below $100/bbl for the First Time Since September 9
[UPDATE] U.S. crude oil falls back below $100 per barrel after Trump says he's open to talking to Iran (first reported at 2026-09-21T02:14:21+0000)
Oil prices fell by about 3%, with Brent crude hitting $100 a barrel and US crude at $97.
Oil prices hit a one-week low Oil prices hit their lowest level in more than a week on hopes of improved supply. Both oil indices hit their lowest levels since September 10 in early trading on Monday. The WTI crude oil benchmark fell $2.15, or 2.14 percent, to $98.15 a barrel. US oil prices also fell 1.58% on Friday. A Singapore-based oil broker said US crude oil prices had crossed the psychologically important $100 per barrel level, although some investors may have moved their positions to November a day before the October contract expires. shana.ir/news/2833682 @Shananewsroom
NY crude oil futures market falls for the third consecutive day, closing in the $100 range.
Where does the news lean?
3YES4NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 64% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours).
The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month.
Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry.
For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected).
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
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