Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Open$35.4Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen of Denmark reiterated on Wednesday that Greenland is not for sale, hours after President Trump again said that the United States should have control over the Arctic island, which has been part of the Danish kingdom for 300 years, instead of Denmark.
YESCNBC99%match18¢-78%
Seizing Greenland risks 'monumental' fallout, ex-Iceland president warns, as Trump sharpens rhetoric
NOPOLITICO99%match82¢+17%
An emotional meeting, no breakthroughs. Trump still wants Greenland.
YESWarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧98%match17¢-76%
A senior Trump admin official says Trump’s push to annex Greenland “won’t be thwarted” and meaningful U.S. action could come within “weeks or months.”
YESAcyn99%match17¢-76%
Trump on Greenland: We’re talking about acquiring not leasing. If we don’t do it, Russia or China will.
YESFirst Squawk99%match16¢-75%
President Trump continued to press for U.S. control of Greenland, telling reporters: "We are going to do something on Greenland whether they like it or not."
YESVisegrád 2498%match18¢-78%
Trump on Denmark and Greenland: “I would like to make a deal the easy way. If we don't do it the easy way, we’re
going to do it the hard way”
YESBloomberg99%match17¢-76%
President Donald Trump ramped up his rhetoric over Greenland, saying he’s willing to secure the territory “the hard way” if authorities are unwilling to cut a deal for the US to take over the island
YESFinancialJuice99%match17¢-76%
Trump on Greenland: We'll make a deal the easy or hard way. We can defend Greenland better if we own it.
YESFirst Squawk99%match17¢-76%
TRUMP ON GREENLAND: WE'LL MAKE A DEAL THE EASY OR HARD WAY
YESzerohedge99%match13¢-69%
Can pay every Greenlander $1 million and buy the island with just 2 months of tariff revenue. [Quoting @zerohedge]
> Trump's goal is to buy Greenland from Denmark: WSJ
YESzerohedge99%match13¢-69%
Trump's goal is to buy Greenland from Denmark: WSJ
YESCGTN America98%match12¢-67%
RUBIO TELLS LAWMAKERS TRUMP AIMS TO BUY GREENLAND - WSJ
YESCNBC99%match12¢-67%
Trump weighs using U.S. military to acquire Greenland: White House
YESunusual_whales99%match12¢-67%
BREAKING: Trump and team are discussing options to acquire Greenland, including potential military force, per Reuters.
YESBloomberg99%match12¢-67%
President Trump won’t rule out the use of military force to acquire Greenland, the White House said, ramping up tension with fellow NATO member Denmark
YESLeading Report99%match12¢-67%
BREAKING: Trump admin reportedly considering purchasing Greenland from Denmark, or forming a compact of free association with the island.
YESFirst Squawk98%match11¢-64%
SENIOR U.S. OFFICIAL SAYS TRUMP REMAINS EAGER TO ACQUIRE GREENLAND, CALLING IT A NATIONAL SECURITY PRIORITY DESPITE NATO OBJECTIONS
YESFirst Squawk99%match11¢-64%
SENIOR U.S. OFFICIAL SAYS TRUMP AND ADVISERS ARE WEIGHING OPTIONS TO ACQUIRE GREENLAND, INCLUDING PURCHASE OR A FREE-ASSOCIATION COMPACT, WITH TRUMP AIMING TO DO SO DURING HIS CURRENT TERM
YESFirst Squawk98%match11¢-64%
TRUMP AND HIS TEAM ARE DISCUSSING OPTIONS TO ACQUIRE GREENLAND, WITH MILITARY USE REMAINING AN OPTION, WHITE HOUSE SAYS
Where does the news lean?
73YES14NO60neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.