Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?↑170
Open$6Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 26% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES26¢
NO75¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Yen likely to weaken past 170 before Japan’s growth bet pays off, RSM’s Brusuelas says
*13:00 Japan time: 1 dollar = 162.07-08 yen, down 38 yen from the previous day.
The yen exchange rate is likely to reach 170 yen by the end of the year, weighed down by fiscal concerns and expectations of a US interest rate hike. Even if the dollar exceeds the 165 yen line, it will fall to 170 yen if there is no currency intervention. The reason the market is so wary lies in the draft of the government's "Basic Policy Guidelines." The wording about fiscal consolidation that was in the 2025 target has disappeared.
Intraday Update: The $USDJPY is at resistance and a breakout higher could put the 158.58 level in play. This squeeze could take place since the market may be long JPY after intervention efforts.
Yen exchange rate to be around 154 yen to the dollar by the end of 2026, according to Mr. Kawakami of Mitsubishi UFJ Bank.
USD/JPY Rises to Session Peak, Gains 0.17% to 156.65
USD/JPY Rises to Session Peak, Gains 0.17% to 156.65
The yen briefly fell to the upper 157 yen range, the lowest level since yen-buying intervention.
*YEN WEAKENS TO HIT 160 VERSUS THE DOLLAR, WEAKEST SINCE APRIL 7
*YEN WEAKENS TO HIT 160 VERSUS THE DOLLAR, WEAKEST SINCE APRIL 7
*YEN WEAKENS TO HIT 160 VERSUS THE DOLLAR, WEAKEST SINCE APRIL 7
USD/JPY traded unevenly, last falling 0.23% to 159.09.
Forex 17:00: Yen continues to fall, trading in the low 159 yen range due to uncertainty in the Middle East.
The yen continues to fall in New York, trading at 1 dollar = 159.15-159.25 yen, despite the resilience of the US economy.
The yen rebounded in New York, trading at 158.70-158.80 yen to the dollar, supported by falling oil prices.
Yen exchange rate to be around 150 yen to the dollar by the end of 2026, according to Mr. Mori of SBI Shinsei Bank.
Forex 12:00: Yen rises to the low 159 yen range; "safe-haven dollar buying" reverses.
Forex 17:00: Yen rebounds for the first time in 3 days, trading in the low 159 yen range, driven by expectations of a ceasefire.
The yen rebounded slightly in New York, trading at 1 dollar = 159.50-159.60 yen, supported by concerns about intervention.
NOCGTN America99%match56¢+32%
DOLLAR/YEN DOWN 0.19% AT 156.03
Where does the news lean?
24YES35NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 64% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
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