Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?↓130

OpenVol$1KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES6¢
NO95¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOnikkei.com92%match89¢+6%
The yen fell in NY, trading at 163.80-163.90 yen per dollar, partly due to lower oil prices.
NOsankei.com92%match86¢+9%
The Tokyo yen is trading in the low 163 yen range, as the escalating military conflict between the US and Iran leads to increased dollar buying in times of crisis.
NOnikkei92%match86¢+9%
The yen briefly fell to the 163 yen range, hitting its lowest level in 39 years and 7 months.
NOsankei.com91%match86¢+9%
The yen briefly fell to the 163 yen range, its lowest level in 39 and a half years, as "safe-haven dollar buying" prevailed amid escalating US-Iran conflict.
NOnews.web.nhk93%match86¢+9%
The yen briefly fell to around 163 yen against the dollar, its lowest level in approximately 39 and a half years.
NOnikkei.com93%match86¢+9%
The yen briefly fell to the upper 162.80 yen range, hitting its lowest level in 39 and a half years, as people began buying dollars in times of crisis.
YES47news.jp98%match9¢-33%
★NY yen, 162.13-162.23 yen
NOinvestinglive_99%match84¢+12%
USD/JPY flirts with a key upside breakout as yen's intervention-led gains continue to fade •
NOnikkei.com99%match83¢+13%
Foreign exchange 8:30 AM: Yen slightly lower in the mid-157 yen range due to concerns about US inflation.
NOnikkei.com98%match83¢+13%
Yen exchange rate to be around 154 yen to the dollar by the end of 2026, according to Mr. Kawakami of Mitsubishi UFJ Bank.
NOnikkei.com99%match82¢+15%
Foreign exchange 10am: Yen weakens, briefly falling to the low 157 yen range due to selling by real demand.
NOinvestinglive_98%match80¢+18%
Japan goes hard with latest intervention push, USD/JPY drops to ten-week low •
NOmarketnews_feed99%match80¢+18%
USD/JPY FALLS 1.45% TO 155.60 IN A SHARP MOVE LOWER. ...
NOredboxwire99%match80¢+18%
USD/JPY falls 1.45% to 155.60 in a sharp move lower.
NOfirstsquawk99%match80¢+18%
USD/JPY falls 1.45% to 155.60 in a sharp move lower.
NOnikkei99%match80¢+18%
The yen briefly fell to the upper 157 yen range, the lowest level since yen-buying intervention.
NOnikkei.com99%match80¢+18%
The yen briefly fell to the upper 157 yen range, the lowest level since yen-buying intervention.
NOzerohedge99%match79¢+19%
*YEN WEAKENS TO HIT 160 VERSUS THE DOLLAR, WEAKEST SINCE APRIL 7
NOmarketnews_feed99%match74¢+27%
USD/JPY TRADED UNEVENLY, LAST FALLING 0.23% TO 159.09. ...
NOnikkei.com99%match74¢+27%
Forex 17:00: Yen continues to fall, trading in the low 159 yen range due to uncertainty in the Middle East.

Where does the news lean?

5YES31NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).

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