Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
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Market pricing makes ↓150 the favorite at 46% across 12 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
The NY yen is trading in the low 158 yen range, with buying dollars and selling yen dominating the market.
Yen exchange rate to be around 153 yen to the dollar by year-end, according to Kengo Suzuki of Mizuho IR.
The yen fell, briefly reaching 159.03 yen against the dollar, its weakest level in three weeks, amid expectations of an early US interest rate hike.
The yen fell, briefly reaching 159.03 yen against the dollar, its weakest level in three weeks, amid expectations of an early US interest rate hike.
The yen continues to weaken, briefly reaching the 159 yen level against the dollar; the selling pressure on the yen shows no sign of slowing down.
The yen continues to weaken, briefly reaching the 159 yen level against the dollar; the selling pressure on the yen shows no sign of slowing down.
The yen weakened during the long holiday weekend, temporarily falling to the low 158 yen range against the dollar. While "rate checks" were conducted, the effects were negated. Long-term interest rates reached their highest level in 30 years.
The yen weakened during the long holiday weekend, temporarily falling to the low 158 yen range against the dollar. While "rate checks" were conducted, the effects were negated. Long-term interest rates reached their highest level in 30 years.
The yen continues to fall in New York, trading at 158.30-158.40 yen to the dollar, weighed down by rising US long-term interest rates.
The yen is trading in the low 157 yen range in New York, as the widening interest rate differential between Japan and the US drives selling pressure on the yen.
The yen is trading in the low 157 yen range in New York, as the widening interest rate differential between Japan and the US drives selling pressure on the yen.
The yen is trading in the low 157 yen range against the dollar... There is a movement to buy back dollars on the view that the interest rate differential between Japan and the US will not narrow.
The yen is trading in the low 157 yen range against the dollar... There is a movement to buy back dollars on the view that the interest rate differential between Japan and the US will not narrow.
The yen is trading in the low 155 yen range in New York as expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike strengthen, leading to selling pressure on the yen.
The yen is trading in the upper 153 yen range in New York, driven by strong expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan and the resulting narrowing of the interest rate differential between Japan and the US, leading to increased yen buying.
The yen is trading in the upper 153 yen range in New York, driven by strong expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan and the resulting narrowing of the interest rate differential between Japan and the US, leading to increased yen buying.
The NY yen is trading in the low 154 yen range, as expectations of a widening interest rate differential between Japan and the US drive yen selling.
The yen continued to rise in New York, trading at 153.50-153.60 yen to the dollar, on expectations that the Bank of Japan will accelerate its pace of interest rate hikes.
Japanese Yen Surges Past 155 as BOJ Rate Hike Bets Put Carry Trades Under Pressure. • The Japanese yen has staged a sharp comeback, pushing USD/JPY below 155 and briefly toward 153 after the pair traded close to 16
Japanese Yen Surges Past 155 as BOJ Rate Hike Bets Put Carry Trades Under Pressure. • The Japanese yen has staged a sharp comeback, pushing USD/JPY below 155 and briefly toward 153 after the pair traded close to 16
Japanese Yen Surges Past 155 as BOJ Rate Hike Bets Put Carry Trades Under Pressure. • The Japanese yen has staged a sharp comeback, pushing USD/JPY below 155 and briefly toward 153 after the pair traded close to 16
Japanese Yen Surges Past 155 as BOJ Rate Hike Bets Put Carry Trades Under Pressure. • The Japanese yen has staged a sharp comeback, pushing USD/JPY below 155 and briefly toward 153 after the pair traded close to 16
Why Is the Japanese Yen Rising? Bessent’s ‘I Am the House’ Warning and the USD/JPY Outlook. • The Japanese yen has staged one of its strongest rallies of 2026, pushing USD/JPY below 155 and briefly to around 152.89, its st
Continued yen buying evokes memories of the "yen appreciation after intervention" in 2022 and 2024; breaking through 150 yen becomes a realistic possibility
Continued yen buying evokes memories of the "post-intervention yen appreciation" of 2022 and 2024, making a break above 150 yen a realistic possibility.
Hedge Funds Bet Yen Will Strengthen Beyond 150 By Year-End - BBG • •
The yen is trading around 154 yen in New York, as expectations of an accelerated interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan are driving yen buying.
The yen is trading around 154 yen in New York, as expectations of an accelerated interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan are driving yen buying.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).