Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?

OpenOutcomes12as of

Market pricing makes ↑165 the favorite at 44% across 12 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

↑160100%

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

↑165sankei.com92%match44¢
The yen fell, briefly hitting the 160 yen range. The effects of coordinated US-Japan intervention faded after four weeks, and expectations of a US interest rate hike put upward pressure on the dollar.
↑170sankei.com92%match26¢
The yen fell, briefly hitting the 160 yen range. The effects of coordinated US-Japan intervention faded after four weeks, and expectations of a US interest rate hike put upward pressure on the dollar.
↑165money.udn.com92%match43¢+2%
The yen exchange rate is approaching the 160 mark! Will a "historic yen depreciation pattern" repeat itself?
↑170money.udn.com92%match26¢
The yen exchange rate is approaching the 160 mark! Will a "historic yen depreciation pattern" repeat itself?
↓140money.udn.com92%match82¢+2%
The yen exchange rate is approaching the 160 mark! Will a "historic yen depreciation pattern" repeat itself?
↓150mainichi.jp92%match72¢+7%
The yen is trading in the low 159 yen range in New York, with selling pressure on the yen due to concerns about the interest rate differential between Japan and the US.
↓140mainichi.jp93%match84¢
The yen is trading in the low 159 yen range in New York, with selling pressure on the yen due to concerns about the interest rate differential between Japan and the US.
↓130mainichi.jp92%match94¢
The yen is trading in the low 159 yen range in New York, with selling pressure on the yen due to concerns about the interest rate differential between Japan and the US.
↓140aa_arabic93%match85¢-1%
Japanese Yen at its lowest level in 4 decades: Reasons and recovery requirements (Report) — The dollar reached 163 yen in July before a joint US-Japanese intervention in the currency markets for the first time in 28 years. — Rising energy prices, a widening trade deficit, and interest rate differentials put pressure on the yen amid the Strait of Hormuz tensions. — The intervention by Washington and Tokyo boosted the yen by about 5 percent, but one analyst believes that a sustainable recovery requires lower oil prices and a narrowing of the interest rate differential.
↓130aa_arabic93%match94¢
Japanese Yen at its lowest level in 4 decades: Reasons and recovery requirements (Report) — The dollar reached 163 yen in July before a joint US-Japanese intervention in the currency markets for the first time in 28 years. — Rising energy prices, a widening trade deficit, and interest rate differentials put pressure on the yen amid the Strait of Hormuz tensions. — The intervention by Washington and Tokyo boosted the yen by about 5 percent, but one analyst believes that a sustainable recovery requires lower oil prices and a narrowing of the interest rate differential.
↓110aa_arabic91%match94¢+1%
Japanese Yen at its lowest level in 4 decades: Reasons and recovery requirements (Report) — The dollar reached 163 yen in July before a joint US-Japanese intervention in the currency markets for the first time in 28 years. — Rising energy prices, a widening trade deficit, and interest rate differentials put pressure on the yen amid the Strait of Hormuz tensions. — The intervention by Washington and Tokyo boosted the yen by about 5 percent, but one analyst believes that a sustainable recovery requires lower oil prices and a narrowing of the interest rate differential.
↓120aa_arabic92%match96¢+2%
Japanese Yen at its lowest level in 4 decades: Reasons and recovery requirements (Report) — The dollar reached 163 yen in July before a joint US-Japanese intervention in the currency markets for the first time in 28 years. — Rising energy prices, a widening trade deficit, and interest rate differentials put pressure on the yen amid the Strait of Hormuz tensions. — The intervention by Washington and Tokyo boosted the yen by about 5 percent, but one analyst believes that a sustainable recovery requires lower oil prices and a narrowing of the interest rate differential.
↓15047news.jp91%match60¢+28%
The NY yen is trading in the low 159 yen range.
↓14047news.jp91%match68¢+24%
The NY yen is trading in the low 159 yen range.
↓150chosun.com91%match41¢-44%
[Economic Focus] Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate Hits 150 Yen on U.S.-Japan Cooperation, Then Approaches 160 Yen Again After Two Weeks
↓150biz.chosun.com91%match41¢-44%
[Economic Focus] Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate Hits 150 Yen on U.S.-Japan Cooperation, Then Approaches 160 Yen Again After Two Weeks
↓140money.udn.com93%match26¢-38%
"Joint US-Japan intervention is a watershed moment," Ren Yongli said, suggesting the USD/JPY exchange rate may have peaked and will fall back to 125.
↓130money.udn.com93%match5¢+20%
"Joint US-Japan intervention is a watershed moment," Ren Yongli said, suggesting the USD/JPY exchange rate may have peaked and will fall back to 125.
↓150newsdig.tbs.co.jp92%match64¢+20%
The dollar is trading in the low 159 yen range in the New York foreign exchange market.
↓140newsdig.tbs.co.jp92%match73¢+15%
The dollar is trading in the low 159 yen range in the New York foreign exchange market.
↓140zerohedge93%match36¢-56%
USDJPY plungging
↑180zerohedge92%match93¢
USDJPY plungging
↓130zerohedge92%match6¢
USDJPY plungging
↓150sankei.com92%match55¢+40%
The Tokyo yen opened trading in the low 158 yen range, as rising US long-term interest rates and the interest rate differential between Japan and the US led to yen selling.
↓130sankei.com91%match94¢
The Tokyo yen opened trading in the low 158 yen range, as rising US long-term interest rates and the interest rate differential between Japan and the US led to yen selling.
↓150yuto_headline91%match41¢-44%
*BofA forecasts USD/JPY at 149 BY YEAR-END VS PRIOR FORECAST 152: BBG
↓150fnn.jp93%match43¢-47%
The yen surged, briefly breaking into the low 155 yen range against the dollar, as market speculation suggested "additional intervention" was being implemented, leading to a sharp rise after volatile price movements.
↓150news.tv-asahi.co.jp92%match45¢-49%
[Breaking News] The yen is trading at around 155 yen to the dollar in the foreign exchange market, the strongest level in about two and a half months following coordinated intervention by Japan and the United States.
↑165sankei.com92%match61¢-8%
The yen rose, briefly reaching around 157 yen, its highest level in two and a half months, driven by yen buying following coordinated intervention by Japan and the United States.
↑170sankei.com92%match70¢+6%
The yen rose, briefly reaching around 157 yen, its highest level in two and a half months, driven by yen buying following coordinated intervention by Japan and the United States.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).

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