Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?↑165
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Odds now
The market prices a 44% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES44¢
NO56¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The yen fell, briefly hitting the 160 yen range. The effects of coordinated US-Japan intervention faded after four weeks, and expectations of a US interest rate hike put upward pressure on the dollar.
The yen exchange rate is approaching the 160 mark! Will a "historic yen depreciation pattern" repeat itself?
The yen surged, briefly reaching the 159 yen level, its highest level since June 15th.
The yen is weakening, approaching 164 yen to the dollar for the first time in 39 and a half years. Japan and the US are set to hold a meeting, increasing the likelihood that the Bank of Japan will keep its policy interest rate unchanged.
[Breaking News] The dollar is approaching 164 yen. If it reaches 164 yen, it would be the first time in about 40 years, since November 1986.
The yen is approaching 164 yen to the dollar, its highest level in approximately 40 years, as rising crude oil futures prices drive the dollar's strength.
The Tokyo yen briefly hit 163.42 yen, a safe-haven level for the yen in 39 years and 8 months, driven by dollar buying during times of crisis.
Overseas travel urges "bring your own food" due to the weak yen; the yen continues to weaken to the 163 yen level for the first time in 40 years, and could it reach "165 yen by the end of the year"?
The Japanese yen weakens, hitting its lowest level in approximately 40 years, briefly trading at around 163 yen to the dollar.
Yen Options Suggest A Slide To 165 Level Before Japan Intervenes – BBG • •
Yen falls despite verbal intervention; market forecast is 165.96 yen by the end of the year
The yen continues to fall despite verbal intervention; market forecast is 165.96 yen by the end of the year.
Goldman Sachs has turned more bearish on the Japanese yen, saying that the currency is likely to weaken further against the U.S. dollar and a Japanese market intervention to support the currency will only have a temporary impact. • • The Wall Street bank raised its forecasts for the dollar-yen exchange rate to 162 in three months, 163 in six months and 165 in 12 months, from its earlier projections of 160, 158 and 155, respectively. • • Read more on CNBC Pro:
Goldman Sachs predicts the yen will fall to 165 against the dollar within a year. #AlArabiya_Business
The yen exchange rate is likely to reach 170 yen by the end of the year, weighed down by fiscal concerns and expectations of a US interest rate hike. Even if the dollar exceeds the 165 yen line, it will fall to 170 yen if there is no currency intervention. The reason the market is so wary lies in the draft of the government's "Basic Policy Guidelines." The wording about fiscal consolidation that was in the 2025 target has disappeared.
Foreign exchange 14:00: Yen falls further to the upper 161 yen range.
Intraday Update: The $USDJPY is forming a triangle inside of the already tight range. This suggests the 159.50 is the upside breakout point with the breakdown point near the 158.30 level.
European Update: #USDJPY followed the script. • • After yesterday's update, 158.50's held and we went on to break the prior low to hit support at 157.85/90 before bouncing all the way back up. • • 159.00, and more so 159.20/25, remain the key levels up here. • • What needs to be noted is that we're back up on bad news (the ceasefire looking flaky = USD buying) and not wholly on yen weakness, although that's still a feature with yesterday's BOJ Yendex dropping to 73.18 vs 73.34 on Tue. • • If the news pendulum swings back more to the positive side today, we could head back to 158 and maybe the lows, or else we might just look to set a bit of a range between the 157.85/90 and 159.20's, while playing headline ping-pong.
The yen rebounded slightly in New York, trading at 1 dollar = 159.50-159.60 yen, supported by concerns about intervention.
Forex 2pm: Yen exchange rate resists further decline, remaining in the low 159 yen range.
Where does the news lean?
26YES24NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 60% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
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