Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?↓150
Open$7Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 46% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES46¢
NO54¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The yen weakened during the long holiday weekend, temporarily falling to the low 158 yen range against the dollar. While "rate checks" were conducted, the effects were negated. Long-term interest rates reached their highest level in 30 years.
The yen is trading in the low 155 yen range in New York as expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike strengthen, leading to selling pressure on the yen.
Japanese Yen Surges Past 155 as BOJ Rate Hike Bets Put Carry Trades Under Pressure. • The Japanese yen has staged a sharp comeback, pushing USD/JPY below 155 and briefly toward 153 after the pair traded close to 16
The yen briefly hit the 152 yen level against the dollar, its highest level in about six months. Some market participants believe that a significant acceleration of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan is unlikely. It remains unclear how long the yen's appreciation trend will continue.
[Breaking News] Yen briefly hits 152 yen to the dollar, the lowest level in about six months.
The Tokyo yen briefly hit the 153 yen level against the dollar...the first time in about six months since late February.
[Economic Focus] Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate Hits 150 Yen on U.S.-Japan Cooperation, Then Approaches 160 Yen Again After Two Weeks
[Breaking News] The yen is trading at around 155 yen to the dollar in the foreign exchange market, the strongest level in about two and a half months following coordinated intervention by Japan and the United States.
The yen briefly fell to the 163 yen range, hitting its lowest level in 39 years and 7 months.
The yen briefly fell to around 163 yen against the dollar, its lowest level in approximately 39 and a half years.
The yen briefly fell to the upper 162.80 yen range, hitting its lowest level in 39 and a half years, as people began buying dollars in times of crisis.
Forex 10am: Yen falls further, dropping to the low 162 yen range; mid-rate: "Dollar buying is dominant"
Foreign exchange 8:30 AM: Yen slightly lower in the mid-157 yen range due to concerns about US inflation.
Yen exchange rate to be around 154 yen to the dollar by the end of 2026, according to Mr. Kawakami of Mitsubishi UFJ Bank.
Foreign exchange 10am: Yen weakens, briefly falling to the low 157 yen range due to selling by real demand.
Forex 17:00: Yen continues to fall, trading in the low 159 yen range due to uncertainty in the Middle East.
The yen continues to fall in New York, trading at 1 dollar = 159.15-159.25 yen, despite the resilience of the US economy.
Forex 10am: Yen rises slightly, widening to the low 159 yen range. Mid-rate: "Dollar buying is dominant."
Forex 10am: Yen falls further, trading in the low 159 yen range. Mid-rate: Voices of "dollar demand"
NOFirst Squawk99%match21¢+157%
USD/JPY climbs 0.35% to 155.18
Where does the news lean?
39YES58NO13neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 80% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
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