Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Steve Bannon
Open$8Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES14¢
NO86¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOAxios99%match72¢+19%
Justice Department seeks dismissal of Steve Bannon conviction
NOLeading Report99%match71¢+21%
BREAKING: Trump DOJ seeks to dismiss Steve Bannon’s J6 conviction and indictment, per JTN.
NOBloomberg98%match72¢+19%
Federal prosecutors took steps to end a criminal case against conservative activist Stephen Bannon, who had continued to challenge his conviction for defying a congressional subpoena after he served a four-month prison sentence
NOPolymarket99%match72¢+19%
[Replying to @PpollingNumbers] @PpollingNumbers 29% chance Trump pardons Steve Bannon. > News - The Justice Department on Monday moved to dismiss its long-running criminal case against Steve Bannon, tied to his refusal to testify before the congressional committee that investigated the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol.
NOPOLITICO98%match72¢+19%
Justice Department seeks to wipe out Bannon conviction for defying Jan. 6 committee
Where does the news lean?
0YES13NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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