Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Bob Menendez
Open$295as of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO94¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
GOLD BAR BOB FALLOUT: After Bob Menendez Got 11 Years Sentence, Now Nadine's Bid for a 4 Month Delay in Surrender to Prison Questioned [Judge Stein is not happy with Nadine, or at least her lawyer ] - Inner City Press story:
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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