Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Diddy
Open$28Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Trump Likely To Pardon Pollution Violators As He Privately Weighs Clemency For Diddy, Other High-Profile Figures - @CBSNews Sources •
Diddy's lawyers to appeal disgraced rap mogul's conviction
Diddy back in court to appeal criminal conviction
Was Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs making amateur porn? Lawyers argue yes in appealing conviction on prostitution-related charges
NOThe New York Times99%match93¢+3%
NEW: Trump says that @Diddy wrote him a letter requesting a pardon, but he is not considering granting one. He also said he has no intention of pardoning @SBF_FTX, @SenatorMenendez or @NicolasMaduro. Of Derek Chauvin, he said "I haven’t been asked."
Where does the news lean?
1YES7NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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