Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Derek Chauvin
Open$25Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO94¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESzerohedge99%match18¢-67%
Has Trump pardoned Derek Chauvin yet
YESThe New York Times99%match18¢-67%
NEW: Trump says that @Diddy wrote him a letter requesting a pardon, but he is not considering granting one. He also said he has no intention of pardoning @SBF_FTX, @SenatorMenendez or @NicolasMaduro. Of Derek Chauvin, he said "I haven’t been asked."
Where does the news lean?
2YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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