Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Sam Bankman-Fried
Open$132Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
U.S. Senate Unanimously Opposes Clemency for FTX Founder Sam Bankman-Fried • • The U.S. Senate unanimously approved a nonbinding resolution stating that FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried should not receive a presidential pardon, sentence commutation or any other form of federal clemency “under any circumstances.” The measure passed by unanimous consent without objection. Bankman-Fried founded FTX, once one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges before its 2022 collapse, and is serving a 25-year sentence after being convicted on seven fraud and conspiracy charges. • • The resolution follows his efforts to seek clemency and comes after President Donald Trump pardoned Binance founder Changpeng Zhao and Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht.
The Senate UC’d a resolution today saying Sam Bankman-Fried shouldn’t receive a presidential pardon or commutation
NOBenzinga99%match94¢+2%
President Donald Trump said he will not pardon former FTX chief Sam Bankman-Fried, who is serving a 25 year sentence for fraud and conspiracy. The decision stands out because Trump has granted clemency to several other high profile crypto figures. Bankman-Fried’s parents…
NOBenzinga99%match94¢+2%
[Replying to @Benzinga] > President Donald Trump said he will not pardon former FTX chief Sam Bankman-Fried, who is serving a 25 year sentence for fraud and conspiracy. The decision stands out because Trump has granted clemency to several other high profile crypto figures. Bankman-Fried’s parents…
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match90¢+7%
*TRUMP INDICATED NO INTENTION TO PARDON SAM BANKMAN-FRIED: NYT
Where does the news lean?
2YES11NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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