Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Roger Ver
Open$2Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 8% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES8¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESBenzinga98%match18¢-56%
President Donald Trump said he will not pardon former FTX chief Sam Bankman-Fried, who is serving a 25 year sentence for fraud and conspiracy. The decision stands out because Trump has granted clemency to several other high profile crypto figures. Bankman-Fried’s parents…
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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