Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Nicolas Maduro
Open$9Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO94¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOAcyn99%match88¢+7%
Ossoff: Trump pardoned a man who helped the cartels make billions trafficking cocaine into the U.S. Trump freed him because he was Trump’s political ally and because he sent a four-page letter to Trump saying he was a better president than Biden. Maduro should’ve just sent Trump…
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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