Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Ghislaine Maxwell
Open$23Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
18 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESAcyn98%match7¢-29%
Walkinshaw: Why has Trump refused to rule out the pardon, the clemency that Ghislaine Maxwell is campaigning for? We held a deposition in this committee with Maxwell. She used that deposition as an opportunity to campaign for a pardon. Chairman Comer then walked out before many…
YESunusual_whales99%match12¢-58%
[Replying to @unusual_whales] Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Polymarket estimates there is a 10% chance. See more: > BREAKING: Ghislaine Maxwell says she will clear Trump's name of any wrongdoing, as it pertains to Epstein, if Trump grants her clemency, per CNN
NOBreaking91199%match88¢+8%
Q: Ghislaine Maxwell, Is the president going to rule out a pardon for her? WH PRESS SEC.: It's not a priority. He's focused on many of the issue that the American people are dealing with.
NOAcyn99%match88¢+8%
Reporter: Is the president going to rule out a pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell? Leavitt: This is not something I've discussed with the president recently because, frankly, it's not a priority.
NOTIME99%match88¢+8%
‘Thank goodness you’re stopping him, everyone has known he’s been doing this,’ Trump is reported to have told police in 2006.
YESTIME99%match12¢-58%
Ghislaine Maxwell asks for clemency in exchange for testimony that will prove Trump ‘innocent’
YESGlobe Eye News99%match12¢-58%
BREAKING: Ghislaine Maxwell offers to clear President Trump’s name in the Epstein case in exchange for reduced sentence or pardon.
NOLeading Report98%match90¢+6%
BREAKING: Trump reportedly called police about Epstein in 2006, said Ghislaine Maxwell was ‘evil,’ per Forbes.
NOCNBC98%match90¢+6%
Trump bashed Epstein to Palm Beach police during first investigation, called Maxwell 'evil,' record shows
YESPolymarket99%match10¢-50%
[Replying to @PopBase] @PopBase 10% chance Trump pardons Ghislaine Maxwell. > Ghislaine Maxwell invoked the Fifth Amendment and refused to answer any questions during a House Oversight deposition today. Her attorney says she will not speak until she’s “granted clemency by President Trump.”
YESThe Spectator Index99%match9¢-44%
Ghislaine Maxwell's lawyer says she will clear Trump of any wrongdoing over dealings with Epstein in exchange for clemency over her 20-year prison sentence.
YESunusual_whales99%match9¢-44%
BREAKING: Ghislaine Maxwell says she will clear Trump's name of any wrongdoing, as it pertains to Epstein, if Trump grants her clemency, per CNN
YESPOLITICO98%match7¢-29%
NEW: Ghislaine Maxwell pleads the Fifth in House Oversight Epstein investigation Her lawyer reiterated that clemency would facilitate her testimony — a power only Trump can bestow. He has not ruled out issuing a pardon from @Hailey_Fuchs via @politico
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match7¢-29%
MAXWELL OFFERS TO CLEAR TRUMP IF PARDONED Ghislaine Maxwell’s lawyer said she would fully testify and could exonerate President Trump if granted a pardon. Maxwell invoked her Fifth Amendment rights during a House deposition and is serving a 20-year sentence for sex trafficking.
YESCNN Politics99%match7¢-29%
Attorney for Ghislaine Maxwell says the convicted Epstein accomplice can clear President Trump's name in the Epstein probe in exchange for clemency. Follow live updates:
YESCNN Breaking News99%match7¢-29%
Attorney for Ghislaine Maxwell says the convicted Epstein accomplice can clear President Trump's name in the Epstein probe in exchange for clemency. Follow live updates:
NOPolymarket99%match93¢+2%
[Replying to @unusual_whales] @unusual_whales 9% chance Trump pardons Ghislaine Maxwell. > BREAKING: Ghislaine Maxwell refused to speak in a deposition with lawmakers unless Trump lets her out of prison, per HuffPost
NOPolymarket99%match93¢+2%
[Replying to @DramaAlert] @DramaAlert 7% chance Maxwell is pardoned this year. > New Footage of Epstein’s co-conspirator Ghislaine Maxwell dropped.
Where does the news lean?
19YES10NO12neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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