Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027? Odds jumped to 24% on Jul 8, 2026
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Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027? On , the market’s odds jumped from 14.5¢ to 24.1¢ (+9.6 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Court Reporter.
How did the odds move?
14.5¢
14.6¢
13.5¢
24.1¢
16.1¢
+9.6 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
NoCourt Reporter98%match
Gold Bar Bob Fallout (and comparison) - After Bob Menendez Got 11 Years Sentence Nadine Delay Denied Amid Use of Health Info - Inner City Press story: Analysis on X for Subscribers and Substack here:
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO94¢
$295
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Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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