Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?Tom Homan
Open$172as of
Odds now
The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES13¢
NO87¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: Tom Homan, Donald Trump’s hardline border czar, said enforcement should “step up” amid the supreme court’s ruling against the president’s attempt to end the rig
Tom Homan's not making much news here, just recapping how good Trump has been at border security and deportations. "I respect President Trump as much as I do my own dad, because I know what's inside him... I've never met anyone who loves this country so much."
Where does the news lean?
0YES3NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
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