Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑500
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$103Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESBloomberg98%match99¢+1%
Measles is surging across the US with five new states reporting cases this week, including California, Minnesota and Washington
YESBloomberg98%match97¢+3%
The US measles outbreak that drove cases to a 34-year high in 2025 shows no signs of slowing, as 168 more people have become infected since the start of the new year
YESunusual_whales99%match87¢+15%
The U.S. has surpassed 2,000 measles cases for the first time in more than 30 years, according to data from the CDC.
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match20¢-100%
CDC: US MEASLES CASES AT 30-YEAR HIGH The CDC says measles cases in the US have passed 2,000 in 2025, the highest level in more than three decades. Nearly 2,000 cases were reported across 44 jurisdictions, with Texas the hardest hit. Most cases involved unvaccinated people or…
NOPolymarket99%match7¢-100%
BREAKING: U.S. set to surpass 2,000 Measles cases this year. 55% chance.
Where does the news lean?
3YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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