Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑4.5k
Open$5Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 98% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES98¢
NO2¢
as of
Where does the news lean?
2YES0NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 55% — signal sentiment, not the market price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.