Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑3.5k
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$16Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Measles Cases Top 3,000 To Reach Highest Level in Three Decades, CDC Reports
Measles cases top 3,000 to reach highest level in three decades, CDC reports
Measles in the USA: The highest number of infections in 35 years
Measles cases in the United States hit a 35-year high.
Measles cases in the United States reach their highest level in 35 years.
U.S. Measles Cases Surpass Last Year's Level in First Seven Months of 2026 -- WSJ
YESAPws92%match63¢+59%
ATLANTA (AP) — US surpasses 2025’s record-breaking tally for measles cases, with 2,318 cases and 5 more months left in the year
U.S. measles cases hit 35-year record with months left in 2026
Where does the news lean?
11YES1NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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See all outcomes for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.