Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑3.5k
Open$15Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 96% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES96¢
NO4¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Measles cases in the United States hit a 35-year high.
Measles cases in the United States reach their highest level in 35 years.
U.S. Measles Cases Surpass Last Year's Level in First Seven Months of 2026 -- WSJ
YESAPws92%match63¢+52%
ATLANTA (AP) — US surpasses 2025’s record-breaking tally for measles cases, with 2,318 cases and 5 more months left in the year
U.S. measles cases hit 35-year record with months left in 2026
Where does the news lean?
8YES1NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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