Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑1k
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$72Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOReuters98%match1¢-100%
Measles cases in South Carolina rise by 13 to 933, state health department says
YESCGTN America99%match99¢+1%
MEXICAN HEALTH MINISTER SAYS 9,074 MEASLES CASES HAVE BEEN REGISTERED IN 2025 AND 2026
YESunusual_whales99%match75¢+33%
The U.S. has surpassed 2,000 measles cases for the first time in more than 30 years, according to data from the CDC.
YESPolymarket98%match72¢+39%
[Replying to @Polymarket] 88% chance the outbreak spreads past 2,000 cases this year. > BREAKING: A measles outbreak in South Carolina is “accelerating” with no end in sight.
YESPolymarket99%match55¢+82%
BREAKING: U.S. set to surpass 2,000 Measles cases this year. 55% chance.
Where does the news lean?
4YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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See all outcomes for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.