Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑2k
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$51Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
This comes as at least 100 kids die of Measles.
YESReuters99%match96¢+4%
Measles cases in South Carolina rise by 6 to 985
NOReuters99%match3¢-100%
Measles cases in South Carolina rise by 6 to 985
YESCNN Breaking News99%match96¢+4%
The US has surpassed 1,100 measles cases in two months. Statistics indicate that means to expect more deaths next
YESCGTN America98%match97¢+3%
MEXICAN HEALTH MINISTER SAYS AT LEAST 28 HAVE DIED FROM MEASLES OUTBREAK THAT BEGAN IN 2025
YESunusual_whales99%match41¢+144%
The U.S. has surpassed 2,000 measles cases for the first time in more than 30 years, according to data from the CDC.
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match42¢+138%
CDC: US MEASLES CASES AT 30-YEAR HIGH The CDC says measles cases in the US have passed 2,000 in 2025, the highest level in more than three decades. Nearly 2,000 cases were reported across 44 jurisdictions, with Texas the hardest hit. Most cases involved unvaccinated people or…
YESPolymarket98%match57¢+75%
[Replying to @Polymarket] 88% chance the outbreak spreads past 2,000 cases this year. > BREAKING: A measles outbreak in South Carolina is “accelerating” with no end in sight.
Where does the news lean?
9YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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See all outcomes for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.