Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑4k
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$249Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The number of confirmed measles cases in the United States this year has exceeded 4,000.
U.S. measles cases top 4,000, far surpassing 2025 total, CDC says
US surpasses 4,000 measles cases, infections confirmed in 45 states, CDC data shows
Measles cases are projected to exceed 400 by 2026, approaching the peak recorded in 2019, the highest number in the past 10 years.
YESReuters99%match66¢+52%
Measles cases in South Carolina rise by 6 to 985
NOReuters99%match36¢-100%
Measles cases in South Carolina rise by 6 to 985
YESCNN Breaking News99%match62¢+61%
The US has surpassed 1,100 measles cases in two months. Statistics indicate that means to expect more deaths next
Where does the news lean?
7YES2NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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