Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑4k
Open$238Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 90% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES90¢
NO11¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Measles cases are projected to exceed 400 by 2026, approaching the peak recorded in 2019, the highest number in the past 10 years.
YESReuters99%match66¢+36%
Measles cases in South Carolina rise by 6 to 985
NOReuters99%match36¢-72%
Measles cases in South Carolina rise by 6 to 985
YESCNN Breaking News99%match62¢+45%
The US has surpassed 1,100 measles cases in two months. Statistics indicate that means to expect more deaths next
Where does the news lean?
3YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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