US lifts Iran OFAC sanctionsMay 31
ResolvedOutcome: No$8Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Sapir Lipkin Report on Saudi Al-Arabiya Channel: Pakistan has learned of "limited American flexibility" on several economic issues and regarding the easing of sanctions imposed on Iran. It is claimed that the US has tightened its demands regarding the nuclear issue and the security of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz.
Report on Saudi Al-Arabiya Channel: Pakistan has learned of "limited American flexibility" on several economic issues and regarding the easing of sanctions imposed on Iran. It is claimed that the US has tightened its demands regarding the nuclear issue and the security of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran still sees the American guarantees regarding the return of any future attack as insufficient. The US has informed Pakistan that it will not offer concessions on the nuclear and Strait of Hormuz demands.
Iran still thinks that US guarantees that hostilities will not renew are not enough, according to Al Arabiya sources • • The US has recently shown “limited flexibility” regarding mitigating sanctions on Iran, according to Al Arabiya sources • • The US has informed Pakistan that it will not make any concessions regarding nuclear demands and the Strait of Hormuz, according to Al Arabiya sources
The latest on Iran-US talks: Pakistan has learned of America's limited flexibility in some economic matters The United States has intensified its demands in the nuclear sector and the Strait of Hormuz. Iran still believes that US guarantees about not resuming war are not enough. / Selection
Where does the news lean?
1YES4NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially suspends, waives, lifts, removes, or materially eases any existing direct OFAC sanctions on Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
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