US announces halt in Iran offensive operationsJuly 24
ResolvedOutcome: No$438Kas of
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The US military announces the end of the 13th round of strikes against Iran, saying it targeted coastal surveillance sites and naval capabilities.
Live: US strikes on 13th straight night conclude
The US military announced that at 4:30 a.m. on Thursday, August 2, Tehran time (equivalent to 9 p.m. on July 23, 2026, Eastern time), the forces of the United States Central Command (CENTCOM) successfully completed the thirteenth consecutive night of attacks on military targets of the Islamic Republic. According to the US military statement, military command centers, drone storage sites, communication networks, coastal surveillance sites, and naval capabilities of the Islamic Republic were targeted. The statement said the attacks were aimed at further reducing the threats posed by the Islamic Republic to civilian mariners and commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz. The US military also announced that despite the recent attacks by the Revolutionary Guard Corps, the Strait of Hormuz remains open to navigation and commercial vessels continue to navigate freely through this international waterway with the support of the US military. The statement concluded by stating that more than 50,000 US military personnel are currently operating throughout the Middle East.
Live: US completes latest round of strikes on Iran
The US military announces the completion of its latest round of strikes against Iran.
U.S. Concludes 13th Night of Strikes on Iranian Military Targets • • TAMPA, Fla. — U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces successfully completed the 13th straight night of strikes against Iran, July 23, at 9 p.m. ET. • CENTCOM targeted Iranian military command centers, drone storage facilities, communication networks, coastal surveillance sites, and maritime capabilities to further diminish the threat Iran poses to civilian mariners and commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz. • The international waterway remains open for transit despite recent attacks from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Commercial vessels continue to freely navigate the strait with U.S. military support. • More than 50,000 U.S. service members are currently operating across the Middle East.
US Central Command announces the end of the round of airstrikes in Iran.
The US military announces the end of attacks on Iran.
U.S. Concludes 13th Night of Strikes on Iranian Military Targets • • TAMPA, Fla. — U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces successfully completed the 13th straight night of strikes against Iran, July 23, at 9 p.m. ET. • CENTCOM targeted Iranian military command centers, drone storage facilities, communication networks, coastal surveillance sites, and maritime capabilities to further diminish the threat Iran poses to civilian mariners and commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz. • The international waterway remains open for transit despite recent attacks from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Commercial vessels continue to freely navigate the strait with U.S. military support. • More than 50,000 U.S. service members are currently operating across the Middle East.
Live: US launches wave of strikes against Iran
Trump said he was considering a new large-scale military operation against Iran. However, according to him, the military had not yet received new instructions. On the night of July 23, the United States again struck Iranian military facilities. Washington said the operation was intended to reduce Iran's ability to threaten civilian sailors and merchant ships in the region.
Naval facilities, missile depots, and air defenses were targeted... US Central Command announces the end of a new round of strikes on Iran. #FromTheEvent
The US military announces the completion of the latest round of strikes on Iran.
The US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced that its forces conducted another round of strikes on the Islamic Republic for the 12th consecutive night at 10:30 PM EST on July 22. According to CENTCOM, the strikes targeted the Islamic Republic's naval capabilities, missile and drone depots, coastal surveillance centers, and air defense systems, further reducing the Islamic Republic's ability to attack civilian seafarers and commercial vessels. CENTCOM also announced that US forces have targeted dozens of military targets in Iran this month while simultaneously resuming a naval blockade of Iran. According to the command, so far, the routes of nine commercial ships have been diverted and one ship has been disabled to prevent vessels from entering or leaving Iranian ports. CENTCOM added that more than 50,000 US military forces are deployed throughout the Middle East and are on full alert.
Live: U.S. wraps up 12th straight night of strikes against Iran
CENTCOM Post, Machine Translation:
CENTCOM Ends Latest Strikes Against Iran TAMPA, Fla. — U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces concluded another round of strikes against Iran at 10:30 p.m. Eastern Time on July 22, for the 12th consecutive night. U.S. forces targeted Iranian military targets, including naval capabilities, missile and drone maintenance facilities, coastal surveillance centers, and air defense equipment. The strikes further undermine Iran’s ability to attack civilian seafarers and commercial vessels. This month, U.S. forces have targeted dozens of Iranian military facilities on land while simultaneously resuming a naval blockade of Iran. To date, CENTCOM has diverted nine commercial vessels and disabled one vessel to prevent them from entering or leaving Iranian ports. More than 50,000 U.S. military personnel are operating throughout the Middle East and remain at the highest level of alert, focused, lethal, and ready.
CENTCOM @VahidOnline
CENTCOM : At 10:30 p.m. ET on July 22, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces completed another round of strikes against Iran for the 12th consecutive night. • • U.S. forces struck Iranian military targets including maritime capabilities, missile and drone storage facilities, coastal surveillance sites, and air defense assets. The strikes further degrade Iran's ability to attack civilian mariners and commercial vessels. • • This month, American forces have targeted dozens of Iranian military sites on land while resuming a blockade against Iran at sea. As of today, CENTCOM has redirected nine commercial vessels and disabled one to prevent ships from entering or departing Iranian ports. • • More than 50,000 U.S. service members are operating across the Middle East and remain highly vigilant, focused, lethal, and ready.
US military strikes Iranian targets for 11th consecutive night • • Footage released by the US Central Command (CENTCOM) on July 21 shows US forces launching its eleventh consecutive night of strikes against Iran.
Live: US military completes latest wave of strikes against Iran
U.S. Finishes Latest Strikes Against Iran • • TAMPA, Fla. — U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) completed another round of strikes against Iran at 9 p.m. ET, July 20. • U.S. forces struck Iranian military command centers, maritime capabilities, missile and drone launch sites, and air defense systems to degrade Iran's ability to continue attacking commercial vessels flowing through the Strait of Hormuz. • Commercial vessel transits through the vital international maritime corridor continue. Since early May, CENTCOM forces have helped facilitate the transit of approximately 900 commercial vessels and 450 million barrels of crude oil. • American forces remain postured and prepared to hold Iran accountable for unwarranted aggression toward civilian mariners seeking to freely and openly transit the strait.
US Central Command: The wave of attacks on Iran has ended. Among the targets attacked were command centers, naval units, missile and drone sites, and air defense systems. @nathanguttman
Live: The United States launched new strikes against Iran on Monday afternoon “at the Commander in Chief’s direction,” U.S. Central Command said in a social media post. Iran and the United States have traded strikes every day since July 11.
The US military announces the start of a new round of strikes against Iran.
The US military announces the start of a new round of strikes against Iran.
U.S. completes 9th night of strikes against Iran
Where does the news lean?
5YES49NO12neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, cessation, or suspension of the United States' offensive military action against Iran, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease offensive military operations against Iran, including an announcement of a ceasefire, truce, or cessation of hostilities to which the United States is a party, even if some measures remain (for example, the naval blockade, sanctions, or a defensive military posture). A time-limited cessation qualifies, provided it constitutes a general suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. A qualifying announcement need not include a commitment from Iran, provided the end or suspension of US offensive military action is communicated. An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of offensive military action against Iran. For example, a pause limited to a specific area, target, or operation, a halt to a single wave of strikes while broader operations continue, or a reduction in the scope or intensity of operations would not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government's present cessation or suspension of offensive military action against Iran, previously-unannounced prior cessation or suspension of such military action, or definitive decision to cease or suspend such military action.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to US offensive military action against Iran, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference a ceasefire by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending offensive military action against Iran is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to military action;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of a ceasefire attributed only to Iran, mediating states, or any party other than the United States; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to military action rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether military action actually ends in practice.
Resolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.
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