US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? Odds jumped to 38% on Jul 20, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? On , the market’s odds jumped from 12.5¢ to 37.5¢ (+25 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from faz.net. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match12.5¢
+5m12.5¢
+30m13.5¢
+1h37.5¢
+24h20.5¢
1h move+25 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Nofaz.net94%match
Iran War: US military ends ninth wave of attacks against Iran

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$438K

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US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for US announces halt in Iran offensive operations — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.