Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?July 20
ResolvedOutcome: No$6Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The release of Google's flagship AI model, Gemini 3.5 Pro, has been delayed due to the technology "failing to meet internal targets." According to Bloomberg, the delay is due to insufficient refinement of the programming language. This could result in Google losing its market advantage, the agency clarifies. "Late last month, Google updated the data used to train Gemini to try to improve those skills, but the results were disappointing, one employee said," Bloomberg reports, citing a company employee. More IZ RU news in MAX
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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