Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

OpenOutcomes32as of

This hub tracks 32 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

On or prior to July 10%
July 20%
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All further outcomes (2 more):

July 31 · No release by July 31

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

July 26sedaily.com95%match100¢
Gemini Model Launch Postponed Again... Dark Clouds Over Google Ahead of Earnings Announcement
July 27sedaily.com95%match100¢
Gemini Model Launch Postponed Again... Dark Clouds Over Google Ahead of Earnings Announcement
July 28sedaily.com95%match99¢+1%
Gemini Model Launch Postponed Again... Dark Clouds Over Google Ahead of Earnings Announcement
July 29sedaily.com95%match99¢+1%
Gemini Model Launch Postponed Again... Dark Clouds Over Google Ahead of Earnings Announcement
July 30sedaily.com95%match98¢+2%
Gemini Model Launch Postponed Again... Dark Clouds Over Google Ahead of Earnings Announcement
July 27chosun.com94%match100¢
Google Postpones ‘Gemini Pro’ Release… Launches Only 3 Lightweight AI Models
July 28chosun.com94%match99¢+1%
Google Postpones ‘Gemini Pro’ Release… Launches Only 3 Lightweight AI Models
July 29chosun.com94%match99¢+1%
Google Postpones ‘Gemini Pro’ Release… Launches Only 3 Lightweight AI Models
July 27biz.chosun.com94%match100¢
Google Postpones ‘Gemini Pro’ Release… Launches Only 3 Lightweight AI Models
July 28biz.chosun.com94%match99¢+1%
Google Postpones ‘Gemini Pro’ Release… Launches Only 3 Lightweight AI Models
July 29biz.chosun.com94%match99¢+1%
Google Postpones ‘Gemini Pro’ Release… Launches Only 3 Lightweight AI Models
July 27theinformation.com95%match100¢
Google Releases New Gemini Flash Models, But Flagship Still Delayed
July 28theinformation.com95%match100¢
Google Releases New Gemini Flash Models, But Flagship Still Delayed
July 29theinformation.com95%match99¢+1%
Google Releases New Gemini Flash Models, But Flagship Still Delayed
July 30theinformation.com95%match99¢+1%
Google Releases New Gemini Flash Models, But Flagship Still Delayed
July 25stockmktnewz97%match100¢
GOOGLE JUST LAUNCHED THREE NEW GEMINI MODELS. • • Google $GOOGL announced Gemini 3.6 Flash, Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, and Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber. • • Pricing: • Gemini 3.6 Flash: $1.50 per million input tokens, $7.50 per million output tokens • Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite: $0.30 per million input tokens, $2.50 per million output tokens • • Gemini 3.5 Pro is still being tested with partners, with a wider release planned once ready. • • Meanwhile, Google says it has already begun pre-training Gemini 4.
July 27stockmktnewz97%match100¢
GOOGLE JUST LAUNCHED THREE NEW GEMINI MODELS. • • Google $GOOGL announced Gemini 3.6 Flash, Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, and Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber. • • Pricing: • Gemini 3.6 Flash: $1.50 per million input tokens, $7.50 per million output tokens • Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite: $0.30 per million input tokens, $2.50 per million output tokens • • Gemini 3.5 Pro is still being tested with partners, with a wider release planned once ready. • • Meanwhile, Google says it has already begun pre-training Gemini 4.
July 28stockmktnewz97%match95¢+5%
GOOGLE JUST LAUNCHED THREE NEW GEMINI MODELS. • • Google $GOOGL announced Gemini 3.6 Flash, Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, and Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber. • • Pricing: • Gemini 3.6 Flash: $1.50 per million input tokens, $7.50 per million output tokens • Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite: $0.30 per million input tokens, $2.50 per million output tokens • • Gemini 3.5 Pro is still being tested with partners, with a wider release planned once ready. • • Meanwhile, Google says it has already begun pre-training Gemini 4.
July 29stockmktnewz97%match98¢+2%
GOOGLE JUST LAUNCHED THREE NEW GEMINI MODELS. • • Google $GOOGL announced Gemini 3.6 Flash, Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, and Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber. • • Pricing: • Gemini 3.6 Flash: $1.50 per million input tokens, $7.50 per million output tokens • Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite: $0.30 per million input tokens, $2.50 per million output tokens • • Gemini 3.5 Pro is still being tested with partners, with a wider release planned once ready. • • Meanwhile, Google says it has already begun pre-training Gemini 4.
July 30stockmktnewz97%match98¢+2%
GOOGLE JUST LAUNCHED THREE NEW GEMINI MODELS. • • Google $GOOGL announced Gemini 3.6 Flash, Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, and Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber. • • Pricing: • Gemini 3.6 Flash: $1.50 per million input tokens, $7.50 per million output tokens • Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite: $0.30 per million input tokens, $2.50 per million output tokens • • Gemini 3.5 Pro is still being tested with partners, with a wider release planned once ready. • • Meanwhile, Google says it has already begun pre-training Gemini 4.
July 25faststocknewss97%match100¢
GOOGLE $GOOGL LAUNCHES THREE NEW GEMINI MODELS, HAS STARTED PRE-TRAINING GEMINI 4 • • Google introduced Gemini 3.6 Flash, Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite and Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber, and said it has started pre-training Gemini 4, per the company. • • • Gemini 3.6 Flash: $1.50 per 1M input tokens, $7.50 per 1M output tokens • • Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite: $0.30 per 1M input tokens, $2.50 per 1M output tokens • • Google said Gemini 3.5 Pro is currently testing with partners and it plans to make it broadly available "as soon as it's ready."
July 27faststocknewss97%match100¢
GOOGLE $GOOGL LAUNCHES THREE NEW GEMINI MODELS, HAS STARTED PRE-TRAINING GEMINI 4 • • Google introduced Gemini 3.6 Flash, Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite and Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber, and said it has started pre-training Gemini 4, per the company. • • • Gemini 3.6 Flash: $1.50 per 1M input tokens, $7.50 per 1M output tokens • • Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite: $0.30 per 1M input tokens, $2.50 per 1M output tokens • • Google said Gemini 3.5 Pro is currently testing with partners and it plans to make it broadly available "as soon as it's ready."
July 28faststocknewss97%match95¢+5%
GOOGLE $GOOGL LAUNCHES THREE NEW GEMINI MODELS, HAS STARTED PRE-TRAINING GEMINI 4 • • Google introduced Gemini 3.6 Flash, Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite and Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber, and said it has started pre-training Gemini 4, per the company. • • • Gemini 3.6 Flash: $1.50 per 1M input tokens, $7.50 per 1M output tokens • • Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite: $0.30 per 1M input tokens, $2.50 per 1M output tokens • • Google said Gemini 3.5 Pro is currently testing with partners and it plans to make it broadly available "as soon as it's ready."
July 28dbws.io95%match95¢+5%
Google updates lightweight Gemini models, but flagship still delayed
July 25Reuters94%match100¢
Google: Gemini 3.5 Pro Currently Testing with Partners, Plan to Make It Broadly Available as Soon as It’s Ready
July 28Reuters95%match95¢+5%
Google: Gemini 3.5 Pro Currently Testing with Partners, Plan to Make It Broadly Available as Soon as It’s Ready
July 29Reuters94%match98¢+2%
Google: Gemini 3.5 Pro Currently Testing with Partners, Plan to Make It Broadly Available as Soon as It’s Ready
July 30Reuters94%match98¢+2%
Google: Gemini 3.5 Pro Currently Testing with Partners, Plan to Make It Broadly Available as Soon as It’s Ready
July 28yna.co.kr91%match98¢+2%
"Google Delays 'Gemini 3.5 Pro' Launch by Several Months"… Stock Price Drops 4.4%
July 18theverge.com92%match100¢
Gemini 3.5 Pro was supposed to launch in June, but it’s still not out.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.