Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$264KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

26 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NORussian Media98%match
"A Just Russia" overcomes the 5% barrier to enter the State Duma after processing 96.91% of the protocols. "United Russia" receives 57.82% of the vote, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.76%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 9.01%, and "New People" - 7.96%. #elections2026 [in reply to: "United Russia" receives 57.83% of the vote in the State Duma elections after processing 95.22% of the protocols. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation receives 13.80%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.98%, and "New People" - 7.96%. "A Just Russia" receives 4.96% of the vote and does not pass the 5% barrier. #elections2026]
NOspiegel.de91%match100¢
Russia: Putin's party wins sham election
NOlefigaro.fr95%match100¢
Russia: Vladimir Putin's party wins a record number of seats in the Duma
NOleparisien.fr95%match100¢
Russia: Vladimir Putin's party wins a record number of seats in the Duma
NORussian Media98%match100¢
After processing 95.18% of the votes, United Russia received 355 seats in the State Duma, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) received 40, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) received 25, and New People received 20, announced Ella Pamfilova, head of the Central Election Commission, at a press conference. After processing the majority of the protocols, United Russia is in the lead with 57.80% of the votes. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation received 13.79%, and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia received 9.01%. New People received 7.97%. A Just Russia received 4.97% of the votes and did not pass the five percent threshold. The elections will form the ninth State Duma of 450 deputies: 225 mandates will be distributed among federal party lists, and another 225 in single-mandate constituencies. The new convocation's term of office will be five years. More infographics are available on our channel in "Max."
NOrtl.fr97%match100¢
Parliamentary elections in Russia: landslide victory for Putin's party, which wins a record number of seats in the Duma
NOdbws.io91%match100¢
Russia’s ruling pro-Putin party wins wartime election with over 57% of vote, near complete results show
NORussian Media98%match100¢
United Russia will preliminarily have 355 seats in the State Duma, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) will have 40, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) will have 25, New People will have 20, and A Just Russia will have 4 seats so far – the head of the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. More news from IZ RU in MAX [in reply to: A Just Russia still has a good chance of overcoming the 5% barrier, said Ella Pamfilova, head of the Central Election Commission. The party is currently polling 4.96% of the vote. More news from IZ RU in MAX]
NORussian Media98%match100¢
The Central Election Commission (CEC) released preliminary election results. According to them, United Russia currently has the largest faction, with 355 seats. The Communists have only 40 deputies in their faction. The Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) has 25, and the People's Liberal Party (NL) has 20. A Just Russia is not eligible for the State Duma. However, not all the protocols have been counted.
NONews98%match100¢
The Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) has preliminarily gained 8.98% of the votes and won two single-mandate constituencies – Pamphilova
NORussian Media - MOD97%match100¢
United Russia leads the State Duma elections with 57.83%. About 95% of the votes have now been processed. Next come the Communist Party of the Russian Federation with 13.81%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia with 8.97%, New People with 7.96%, and A Just Russia with 4.96%. Russia was congratulated on the elections in Kazakhstan and China: "There is no doubt that the elected deputies of the State Duma will take effective measures and decisions to improve the well-being of citizens and strengthen Russia's potential as a world power," the telegram from the President of Kazakhstan says. "The elections to the State Duma of Russia were successful, and the Chinese side expresses its congratulations on this occasion. This is an important event in the political life of the Russian Federation, and their results reflect the will of the Russian people," said the official representative of the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Guo Jiakun. Elections of the heads of state were also held regions, the results have been collected: The current head of Mordovia, Zdunov, is leading with 78.44% of the votes after 91.24% of the protocols have been processed. Khovalyg wins the Tuva gubernatorial election with 90.95% of the votes after 100% of the protocols have been processed. Shuvaev wins the Belgorod region gubernatorial election with 65.97% of the votes after 100% of the protocols have been processed. Kovalchuk gains 68.03% of the votes in the Bryansk region gubernatorial election — 96.2% of the protocols have been processed. Korolev is leading the Tver region gubernatorial election with 69.8% after 90.7% of the protocols have been processed. Melnichenko wins the Penza Oblast gubernatorial election with 70.92% of the vote after 98.2% of the votes have been processed. Russkikh leads the Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial election with 76.65% of the votes after 97% of the votes have been processed. Zvezdanews in MAX [in reply to: After processing 79.08% of the protocols, United Russia receives 57.69% of the votes in the State Duma elections. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation receives 13.96%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia receives 8.75%, and New People receives 7.97%. A Just Russia has dropped below the five percent barrier, with 4.98% of the votes. Counting continues. Zvezdanews in MAX]
NORussian Media98%match100¢
United Russia has received 57.83% of the vote in the State Duma elections after 95.22% of the ballots have been processed. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) received 13.80%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) received 8.98%, and New People received 7.96%. A Just Russia received 4.96% of the vote and failed to pass the 5% threshold. #elections2026
NOhandelsblatt.com95%match100¢
Parliamentary elections: Russia – Kremlin party expands its two-thirds majority
NOdpa.com91%match100¢
Russia: Kremlin party expands two-thirds majority
NONews97%match100¢
United Russia Gains 57.84% of the Vote in the State Duma Elections, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.81%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.92%, New People - 7.97%, and Just Russia - 4.96% After Processing 92.47% of the Protocols - the Central Election Commission
NORussian Media98%match100¢
United Russia has garnered 57.76% of the vote in the State Duma elections, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) 13.89%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 8.77%, New People 7.97%, and A Just Russia 4.99% after processing 82.19% of the ballots, the Central Election Commission reported. More IZ RU news in MAX
NONews97%match100¢
United Russia Gains 57.76% of the Vote in the State Duma Elections, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.89%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.77%, New People - 7.97%, and Just Russia - 4.99% After Processing 82.19% of the Protocols - the Central Election Commission
NORussian Media - MOD97%match100¢
After 79.08% of the protocols have been processed, United Russia has 57.69% of the votes in the State Duma elections. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation has 13.96%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia has 8.75%, and New People has 7.97%. A Just Russia has dropped below the five percent threshold, with 4.98% of the votes. Counting continues. Zvezdanews on MAX
NONews97%match100¢
United Russia Gains 57.70% of the Vote in the State Duma Elections, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.85%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.66%, New People - 7.91%, and Just Russia - 5.09% After Processing 64.67% of the Protocols - the Central Election Commission
NONews95%match100¢
"United Russia" is gaining 57.87% on the federal list, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.79%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.80%, "New People" - 7.86%, "A Just Russia" - 5.11% - the results of processing more than 50% of the protocols
NORussian Media97%match100¢
The Central Electoral Commission of Russia presented the results after processing 35.80% of the protocols of the precinct election commissions in the elections of deputies to the ninth State Duma. According to the broadcast on the Central Election Commission website, the votes were distributed as follows: United Russia — 57.11%; Communist Party of the Russian Federation — 13.91%; Liberal Democratic Party of Russia — 9.22%; New People — 8.02%; A Just Russia — 5.22%; Pensioners' Party — 2.13%; The Greens — 0.98%; Communists of Russia — 0.88%; Rodina — 0.64%; Direct Democracy Party — 0.31%. RBC app for iOS and Android RBC Channel in "Max"
NOdpa.com92%match100¢
Russia: Initial results show Kremlin party as election winner
NOiranintlbrk97%match100¢
The Communist Party of Russia came in second place with 13.95% of the vote, followed by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia with 9.26% and the New People's Party with over 8% of the vote.
NOleparisien.fr92%match100¢
Russia: Unsurprisingly, Vladimir Putin's party was declared the winner of the parliamentary elections, which were marred by drone attacks.
NONews97%match100¢
URGENT: United Russia leads in 177 districts in the State Duma elections, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation leads in 4, A Just Russia leads in 3, and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia leads in 2
The head of the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation, Ella Pamfilova, began to publish the results of the State Duma elections and mixed everything up. She reported that the Direct Democracy Party was in third place based on the vote processing results. And the LDPR, according to her data, took second place. In fact, according to the initial results, United Russia is gaining 57.54%, The Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.80%, The LDPR - 9.30%, New People - 7.92% Subscribe to "Agency" on Telegram / mailing list

Where does the news lean?

3YES106NO12neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

How did this market resolve?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

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